CONCACAF Central American Cup

CD MotaguaHome

WDWDW

Thursday, Sep 10, 2026 03:06 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa

AlianzaAway

DWDLW

CD Motagua vs Alianza Prediction

Double chance : CD Motagua or draw Review the CD Motagua vs Alianza prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for CONCACAF Central American Cup.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction

Current

CD Motagua45%

Draw45%

Alianza10%

Model adviceDouble chance : CD Motagua or drawStrongest probability: 45%

Likely Score-2.5–-1.5Expected goals

Goals Market—When returned by feed

Winner SignalCD MotaguaWin or draw

Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

CD Motagua has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-1.5.
Double chance : CD Motagua or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal

Form47% / 53%

Attacking potential62% / 38%

Defensive potential67% / 33%

Poisson distribution65% / 35%

Head to head50% / 50%

Goals H2H50% / 50%

Overall signal56.8% / 43.2%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches

CD Motagua

WDWDW

Alianza1–0W

Atletico Independiente0–0D

Olancho2–1W

Municipal1–1D

Lobos Upnfm4–1W

47% Form Rating 53%

Alianza

DWDLW

Águila2–2D

Atletico Balboa2–0W

Platense2–2D

Isidro Metapán0–2L

CD Marathon1–0W

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings

Sep 10, 2026

CD Motagua1–0

Alianza

Nov 5, 2020

Alianza1–1

CD Motagua

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2CD Motagua45%

Expected Score-2.5–-1.5Model goals

Goals Signal—Feed market

Double Chance1XIf supported

Prediction analysis