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Championship
QPR QPRHome
DDDLW
Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026 Loftus Road, London
Derby DerbyAway
DLLLW

Derby vs Qpr Prediction

QPR vs Derby prediction for October 14, 2026 in Championship, England reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are QPR 35%, draw 35% and Derby 30%. Expected goals are QPR -1.5 and Derby -1.5. Model advice: Combo Double chance : QPR or draw and -3.5 goals. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
QPR35%
Draw35%
Derby30%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : QPR or draw and -3.5 goalsStrongest probability: 35%
Likely Score-1.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market-3.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalQPRWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • QPR has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 35%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-1.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is -3.5.
  • Combo Double chance : QPR or draw and -3.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form60% / 40%
Attacking potential56% / 44%
Defensive potential58% / 42%
Poisson distribution54% / 46%
Head to head40% / 60%
Goals H2H54% / 46%
Overall signal53.7% / 46.3%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
QPR
DDDLW
Preston2–2D
West Brom1–1D
Charlton0–0D
Middlesbrough0–1L
Cardiff2–1W
60% Form Rating 40%
Derby
DLLLW
Burnley1–1D
Birmingham1–2L
West Brom0–1L
West Ham0–3L
Portsmouth2–0W

Head to Head

Last 0 meetings

No completed head-to-head meetings are available yet.

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2QPR35%
Expected Score-1.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal-3.5Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

QPR vs Derby prediction analysis