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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo Houston DynamoHome
DDLDL
Sunday, Oct 18, 2026 BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston
FC Dallas FC DallasAway
WLWDW

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction

For Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas on October 18, 2026 in Major League Soccer, USA, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are Houston Dynamo 10%, draw 45% and FC Dallas 45%. Expected goals are Houston Dynamo -2.5 and FC Dallas -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or FC Dallas. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Houston Dynamo10%
Draw45%
FC Dallas45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or FC DallasStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalFC DallasWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • FC Dallas has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or FC Dallas

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form23% / 77%
Attacking potential54% / 46%
Defensive potential29% / 71%
Poisson distribution50% / 50%
Head to head50% / 50%
Goals H2H53% / 47%
Overall signal43.2% / 56.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Houston Dynamo
DDLDL
San Diego3–3D
Minnesota United FC2–2D
Sporting Kansas City0–2L
FC Cincinnati2–2D
San Jose Earthquakes0–1L
23% Form Rating 77%
FC Dallas
WLWDW
Seattle Sounders1–0W
Charlotte2–3L
Los Angeles FC1–0W
Austin0–0D
Portland Timbers2–1W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
FC Dallas4–3Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas1–2Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas0–2Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo1–2FC Dallas
FC Dallas2–2Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo1–1FC Dallas

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2FC Dallas45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction analysis