Football prediction

Brazil Serie B predictions Matchday 37

Fortaleza Ec vs Novorizontino Prediction

Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 20:10 WAT in the Serie B (matchday 37). The model gives Novorizontino 49%, the draw 34% and Fortaleza EC 17%, and the pick is Novorizontino or draw (83%).

NovorizontinoWWDWW

20:10Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Fortaleza ECWDWDD

Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons

This fixture has been played. The final score and the next meeting appear with the next daily update.

Our prediction

Novorizontino or draw83% probability · best odds 1.20

49%34%17%

NovorizontinoDrawFortaleza EC

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 49%
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 83% · 12 66% · X2 51%

Model advice: Double chance : Novorizontino or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Novorizontino	Fortaleza EC
Results	WWDWW	WDWDD
Goals scored per game	2.4	1.4
Goals conceded per game	0.8	0.8

NovorizontinoFortaleza EC

59%

41%Form

63%

37%Attack

50%

50%Defence

59%

41%Poisson

100%Head to head

100%Goals

58%

42%Overall

Head-to-head

0Novorizontino0Draws1Fortaleza EC

18 Jul 2026Fortaleza EC1 - 0NovorizontinoSerie B

Best odds (1X2)

Novorizontino1.80William Hillfair 52%

Draw3.51Pinnaclefair 27%

Fortaleza EC4.75Bet365fair 21%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 8.2%.

Compare all Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Novorizontino	49%	52.2%	-3.2
Draw	34%	27.2%	+6.8
Fortaleza EC	17%	20.6%	-3.6

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Serie B table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Novorizontino	37	+34	70	WWWDW
5	Fortaleza EC	37	+11	62	LDDWD

Full Serie B table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This Serie B matchday 37 fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 20:10 WAT at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase. Novorizontino are 1st with 70 points from 37 games (goal difference +34); Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 (+11).

Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC form

Novorizontino arrive in strong form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (WWDWW). Over their last 5 matches Fortaleza EC have managed 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats (WDWDD). Over those games Novorizontino averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, Fortaleza EC 1.4 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

Novorizontino are the model’s favourites at 49%, 32 points clear of Fortaleza EC, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.6 for Novorizontino and 1.1 for Fortaleza EC, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 50% and both teams to score (GG) 53%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Novorizontino in attack (63-37), Novorizontino in form (59-41).

Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 1.80 for Novorizontino (William Hill), 3.51 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.75 for Fortaleza EC (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 52% / 27% / 21%. Our model is 6.8 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.08 and under at 1.76.

Our Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC prediction

The selection we are backing in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC: Novorizontino or draw (83% confidence, best price 1.20). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?: The model gives Novorizontino 49%, the draw 34% and Fortaleza EC 17%. Our tip is Novorizontino or draw.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.6 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?: GG is rated 53% by the model and the best GG price is 1.91.
When and where is Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?: Saturday 7 November, 20:10 WAT, Serie B (matchday 37), Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.

Compare every market on the Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

July 18, 2026 · Serie B10% / 45% / 45% · 1–0