Football prediction

Premiership Matchday 13

Hibernian vs Aberdeen Prediction

Aberdeen host Hibernian in the Premiership (matchday 13) on Saturday 7 November, 18:45 WAT. Our model rates the match 41% / 34% / 25% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Aberdeen or draw (75%).

AberdeenDLWLL

18:45Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

HibernianDLLLD

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Our prediction

Aberdeen or draw75% probability · best odds 1.44

41%34%25%

AberdeenDrawHibernian

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 58%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 75% · 12 66% · X2 59%

Model advice: Double chance : Aberdeen or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Aberdeen	Hibernian
Results	DLWLL	DLLLD
Goals scored per game	1.2	0.8
Goals conceded per game	1.4	1.4

AberdeenHibernian

67%

33%Form

60%

40%Attack

50%

50%Defence

46%

54%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

54%

46%Overall

Head-to-head

2Aberdeen2Draws4Hibernian

19 Sep 2026Hibernian1 - 1AberdeenPremiership
11 Apr 2026Aberdeen2 - 0HibernianPremiership
30 Dec 2025Hibernian2 - 0AberdeenPremiership
26 Oct 2025Aberdeen1 - 2HibernianPremiership
26 Apr 2025Aberdeen1 - 0HibernianPremiership
1 Feb 2025Hibernian2 - 0AberdeenPremiership

Best odds (1X2)

Aberdeen2.50Bet365fair 38%

Draw3.54Pinnaclefair 27%

Hibernian2.76Pinnaclefair 34%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 7.2%.

Compare all Aberdeen vs Hibernian odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Aberdeen	41%	38.2%	+2.8
Draw	34%	27.4%	+6.6
Hibernian	25%	34.4%	-9.4

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Aberdeen vs Hibernian preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This Premiership matchday 13 fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 18:45 WAT at Pittodrie Stadium.

Aberdeen and Hibernian form

Aberdeen are struggling for results: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 (DLWLL). Form is a concern for Hibernian, who have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (DLLLD). Over those games Aberdeen averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Hibernian 0.8 and 1.4.

What the numbers say

Aberdeen are the model’s favourites at 41%, 16 points clear of Hibernian, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for Aberdeen and 1.1 for Hibernian, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 43% and both teams to score (GG) 48%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Aberdeen in attack (60-40), Aberdeen in form (67-33).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Aberdeen won 2, Hibernian won 4 and 2 ended level, an average of 2.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, finished Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen.

Aberdeen vs Hibernian odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 2.50 for Aberdeen (Bet365), 3.54 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 2.76 for Hibernian (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 38% / 27% / 34%. Our model is 6.6 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.81 and under at 2.04.

Our Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction

The selection we are backing in Aberdeen vs Hibernian: Aberdeen or draw (75% confidence, best price 1.44). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Aberdeen vs Hibernian?: The model gives Aberdeen 41%, the draw 34% and Hibernian 25%. Our tip is Aberdeen or draw.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Hibernian?: GG is rated 48% by the model and the best GG price is 1.62.
When and where is Aberdeen vs Hibernian?: Saturday 7 November, 18:45 WAT, Premiership (matchday 13), Pittodrie Stadium.

Compare every market on the Aberdeen vs Hibernian odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

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