Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction

Friday 6 November, 23:15 WAT is the date for this Liga Profesional Argentina clausura – 16 meeting at Libertadores de America. Independiente are 8th with 20 points from 15 games (goal difference -2); Deportivo Riestra are 14th with 12 points from 15 (-7).

Independiente and Deportivo Riestra form

Independiente have a mixed recent record of 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats (LDDLD) across their last 5. Form is a concern for Deportivo Riestra, who have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (DLDLL). Over those games Independiente averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Deportivo Riestra 0.4 and 1.4.

What the numbers say

Independiente are the model’s favourites at 51%, 37 points clear of Deportivo Riestra, while the draw is rated 35%. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for Independiente and 0.9 for Deportivo Riestra, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-0 (15%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 30% and both teams to score (GG) 38%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Independiente in attack (60-40), Independiente in form (60-40).

Head-to-head record

In the last 5 meetings Independiente won 2, Deportivo Riestra won 2 and 1 ended level, an average of 1.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 1 of them and 1 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 24 Apr 2026, finished Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Independiente.

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.75 for Independiente (Betano), 3.50 for the draw (Betfair) and 6.10 for Deportivo Riestra (Betano). With the margin removed the market reads 55% / 28% / 17%. Our model is 6.8 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.76 and under at 1.50.

Our Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction

Our pick for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra is Independiente to win, rated 51%, best price 1.75. For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

The model gives Independiente 51%, the draw 35% and Deportivo Riestra 14%. Our tip is Independiente to win.

What is the predicted score for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline (15%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 0.9.

Will both teams score in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

GG is rated 38% by the model and the best GG price is 2.55.

When and where is Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Friday 6 November, 23:15 WAT, Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura – 16), Libertadores de America.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.