Football prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura - 16

Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction

Instituto Cordoba host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura - 16) on Sunday 8 November, 02:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 48% / 36% / 16% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Instituto Cordoba to win (48%).

Instituto CordobaWDWWD

02:00Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

Newells Old BoysDLWDD

Estadio Presidente Peron, Avellaneda

Our prediction

Instituto Cordoba to win48% probability · best odds 1.91

48%36%16%

Instituto CordobaDrawNewells Old Boys

Most likely score: 1 - 0
Both teams to score: 43%
Expected goals: 1.4 – 0.9
Double chance: 1X 84% · 12 64% · X2 52%

Model advice: Winner : Instituto Cordoba

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Instituto Cordoba	Newells Old Boys
Results	WDWWD	DLWDD
Goals scored per game	2.2	0.6
Goals conceded per game	1.2	0.6

Instituto CordobaNewells Old Boys

65%

35%Form

79%

21%Attack

33%

67%Defence

72%

28%Poisson

88%

13%Head to head

75%

25%Goals

69%

32%Overall

Head-to-head

2Instituto Cordoba1Draws0Newells Old Boys

26 Apr 2026Newells Old Boys1 - 1Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
14 Jun 2024Newells Old Boys0 - 2Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
27 Feb 2023Instituto Cordoba3 - 1Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina

Best odds (1X2)

Instituto Cordoba1.91William Hillfair 50%

Draw3.20Bet365fair 30%

Newells Old Boys5.27Pinnaclefair 20%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.4%.

Compare all Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Instituto Cordoba	48%	49.5%	-1.5
Draw	36%	30.1%	+5.9
Newells Old Boys	16%	20.3%	-4.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Liga Profesional Argentina table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	0	21	DWWDW
14	Newells Old Boys	16	-12	15	DDWLD
1	Instituto Cordoba	15	+11	33	DWWDW
6	Newells Old Boys	15	+3	22	DDWLD

Full Liga Profesional Argentina table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys: our prediction for 8 Nov 2026 WAT

This Liga Profesional Argentina clausura – 16 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 02:00 WAT at Estadio Presidente Peron. Instituto Cordoba are 1st with 33 points from 15 games (goal difference +11); Newells Old Boys are 6th with 22 points from 15 (+3). The 11-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys form

Instituto Cordoba have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (WDWWD) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Newells Old Boys have managed 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (DLWDD). Over those games Instituto Cordoba averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Newells Old Boys 0.6 and 0.6.

What the numbers say

Instituto Cordoba are the model’s favourites at 48%, 32 points clear of Newells Old Boys, while the draw is rated 36%. Expected goals come out at 1.4 for Instituto Cordoba and 0.9 for Newells Old Boys, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 40% and both teams to score (GG) 45%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Instituto Cordoba in attack (79-21), Newells Old Boys in defence (67-33), Instituto Cordoba in form (65-35).

Head-to-head record

In the last 3 meetings Instituto Cordoba won 2, Newells Old Boys won 0 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.7 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 1 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto Cordoba.

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.91 for Instituto Cordoba (William Hill), 3.20 for the draw (Bet365) and 5.27 for Newells Old Boys (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 50% / 30% / 20%. Our model is 5.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.55 and under at 1.55.

Our Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys prediction

The selection we are backing in Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys: Instituto Cordoba to win (48% confidence, best price 1.91). Correct score suggestion: 1-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?: The model gives Instituto Cordoba 48%, the draw 36% and Newells Old Boys 16%. Our tip is Instituto Cordoba to win.
What is the predicted score for Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?: 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (14%), from expected goals of 1.4 and 0.9.
Will both teams score in Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?: GG is rated 45% by the model and the best GG price is 2.20.
When and where is Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?: Sunday 8 November, 02:00 WAT, Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura – 16), Estadio Presidente Peron.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.