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Primera Division
Matagalpa MatagalpaHome
DLLL
Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 Nicaragua
Jalapa JalapaAway
WWDLD

Matagalpa vs Jalapa Prediction

Matagalpa vs Jalapa prediction for October 28, 2026 in Primera Division, Nicaragua reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are Matagalpa 10%, draw 45% and Jalapa 45%. Expected goals are Matagalpa -1.5 and Jalapa -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Jalapa. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Matagalpa10%
Draw45%
Jalapa45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or JalapaStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-1.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalJalapaWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Jalapa has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Jalapa

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form11% / 89%
Attacking potential25% / 75%
Defensive potential24% / 76%
Poisson distribution27% / 73%
Head to head50% / 50%
Goals H2H50% / 50%
Overall signal31.2% / 68.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Matagalpa
DLLL
San Marcos0–0D
Managua1–4L
Walter Ferretti1–5L
Real Estelí1–4L
11% Form Rating 89%
Jalapa
WWDLD
UNAN Managua2–0W
H&H Export4–1W
Real Estelí1–1D
Managua0–1L
Walter Ferretti2–2D

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Jalapa0–1Matagalpa
Jalapa3–2Matagalpa
Matagalpa3–1Jalapa
Jalapa1–1Matagalpa
Matagalpa1–3Jalapa
Matagalpa3–0Jalapa

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Jalapa45%
Expected Score-1.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Matagalpa vs Jalapa prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

August 23, 2026 · Primera Division0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–1

July 12, 2026 · Copa Nicaragua0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–2

July 5, 2026 · Copa Nicaragua0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–1

April 11, 2026 · Primera Division0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

February 11, 2026 · Primera Division0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–3

October 26, 2025 · Primera Division0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–0