Football prediction

NPFL predictions Matchday 13

Kwara United vs Rivers United Prediction

Sunday 15 November, 16:00 WAT: Kwara United welcome Rivers United in the NPFL (matchday 13). Home win 10%, draw 45%, away win 45% according to our model, and the pick is Rivers United to win (45%).

Kwara UnitedLDDLL

16:00Sun 15 Nov 2026 · WAT

Rivers UnitedWDDLD

Kwara Sports Stadium, Ilorin

Our prediction

Rivers United to win45% probability

10%45%45%

Kwara UnitedDrawRivers United

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Goals: Under 3.5 goals
Both teams to score: 30%
Expected goals: 0.6 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 55% · 12 55% · X2 90%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rivers United and -3.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Kwara United	Rivers United
Results	LDDLL	WDDLD
Goals scored per game	0.6	0.8
Goals conceded per game	1.4	0.6

Kwara UnitedRivers United

25%

75%Form

43%

57%Attack

30%

70%Defence

50%

50%Poisson

38%

62%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

39%

61%Overall

Head-to-head

2Kwara United3Draws3Rivers United

18 Feb 2026Kwara United1 - 1Rivers UnitedNPFL
31 Aug 2025Rivers United1 - 0Kwara UnitedNPFL
11 May 2025Kwara United3 - 1Rivers UnitedNPFL
15 Dec 2024Rivers United2 - 1Kwara UnitedNPFL
9 May 2024Kwara United0 - 0Rivers UnitedNPFL
15 Oct 2023Rivers United0 - 0Kwara UnitedNPFL

Best odds

Bookmaker prices for this fixture are not open yet. Markets usually open one to three days before kick-off.

NPFL table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Rivers United	11	+10	18	DLDDW
17	Kwara United	12	-2	12	LLDDL

Full NPFL table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Kwara United vs Rivers United preview, prediction and stats – 15 Nov 2026 WAT

This NPFL matchday 13 fixture is played on Sunday 15 November, 16:00 WAT at Kwara Sports Stadium. Kwara United are 17th with 12 points from 12 games (goal difference -2); Rivers United are 6th with 18 points from 11 (+10).

Kwara United and Rivers United form

Form is a concern for Kwara United, who have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (LDDLL). Rivers United have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (WDDLD) across their last 5. Over those games Kwara United averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Rivers United 0.8 and 0.6.

What the numbers say

Rivers United are the model’s favourites at 45%, 35 points clear of Kwara United, while the draw is rated 45%. Expected goals come out at 0.6 for Kwara United and 1.1 for Rivers United, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 24% and both teams to score (GG) 30%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Rivers United in attack (57-43), Rivers United in defence (70-30), Rivers United in form (75-25).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Kwara United won 2, Rivers United won 3 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 18 Feb 2026, finished Kwara United 1-1 Rivers United.

Our Kwara United vs Rivers United prediction

The selection we are backing in Kwara United vs Rivers United: Rivers United to win (45% confidence). For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Kwara United vs Rivers United?: The model gives Kwara United 10%, the draw 45% and Rivers United 45%. Our tip is Rivers United to win.
What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs Rivers United?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (20%), from expected goals of 0.6 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Kwara United vs Rivers United?: GG is rated 30% by the model.
When and where is Kwara United vs Rivers United?: Sunday 15 November, 16:00 WAT, NPFL (matchday 13), Kwara Sports Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.