Football prediction

Championship Matchday 15

Millwall vs West Brom Prediction

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT: West Brom welcome Millwall in the Championship (matchday 15). Home win 46%, draw 34%, away win 20% according to our model, and the pick is West Brom or draw (80%).

West BromWWDWD

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

MillwallLDLWL

The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

Our prediction

West Brom or draw80% probability · best odds 1.31

46%34%20%

West BromDrawMillwall

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 57%
Expected goals: 1.9 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 80% · 12 66% · X2 54%

Model advice: Double chance : West Brom or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	West Brom	Millwall
Results	WWDWD	LDLWL
Goals scored per game	2.0	1.4
Goals conceded per game	1.2	1.8

West BromMillwall

73%

27%Form

59%

41%Attack

60%

40%Defence

68%

32%Poisson

36%

64%Head to head

29%

71%Goals

54%

46%Overall

Head-to-head

0West Brom6Draws2Millwall

10 Apr 2026West Brom0 - 0MillwallChampionship
4 Oct 2025Millwall3 - 0West BromChampionship
15 Feb 2025Millwall1 - 1West BromChampionship
5 Oct 2024West Brom0 - 0MillwallChampionship
29 Mar 2024Millwall1 - 1West BromChampionship
23 Sep 2023West Brom0 - 0MillwallChampionship

Best odds (1X2)

West Brom2.05Betfairfair 47%

Draw3.63Pinnaclefair 27%

Millwall3.80Bet365fair 27%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 6.8%.

Compare all West Brom vs Millwall odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
West Brom	46%	46.6%	-0.6
Draw	34%	26.8%	+7.2
Millwall	20%	26.6%	-6.6

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Championship table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	West Brom	14	+5	25	DWDWW
13	Millwall	14	-1	18	LWLDL

Full Championship table and predictions

Prediction analysis

West Brom vs Millwall preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this Championship matchday 15 meeting at The Hawthorns. West Brom are 6th with 25 points from 14 games (goal difference +5); Millwall are 13th with 18 points from 14 (-1).

West Brom and Millwall form

West Brom have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (WWDWD) across their last 5. Form is a concern for Millwall, who have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (LDLWL). Over those games West Brom averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Millwall 1.4 and 1.8.

What the numbers say

West Brom are the model’s favourites at 46%, 26 points clear of Millwall, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.9 for West Brom and 1.3 for Millwall, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 62% and both teams to score (GG) 62%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: West Brom in attack (59-41), West Brom in defence (60-40), West Brom in form (73-27).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings West Brom won 0, Millwall won 2 and 6 ended level, an average of 1.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 10 Apr 2026, finished West Brom 0-0 Millwall.

West Brom vs Millwall odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.05 for West Brom (Betfair), 3.63 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 3.80 for Millwall (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 47% / 27% / 27%. Our model is 7.2 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.85 and under at 2.02.

Our West Brom vs Millwall prediction

Our pick for West Brom vs Millwall is West Brom or draw, rated 80%, best price 1.31. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?: The model gives West Brom 46%, the draw 34% and Millwall 20%. Our tip is West Brom or draw.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Millwall?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (10%), from expected goals of 1.9 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Millwall?: GG is rated 62% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is West Brom vs Millwall?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Championship (matchday 15), The Hawthorns.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.