Football prediction

Championship Matchday 15

Sheffield Utd vs Charlton Prediction

Charlton vs Sheffield Utd kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT in the Championship (matchday 15). The model gives Charlton 20%, the draw 34% and Sheffield Utd 46%, and the pick is Sheffield Utd or draw (80%).

CharltonDLLLL

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Sheffield UtdLWDWW

The Valley, London

Our prediction

Sheffield Utd or draw80% probability · best odds 1.31

20%34%46%

CharltonDrawSheffield Utd

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 54%
Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.9
Double chance: 1X 54% · 12 66% · X2 80%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Sheffield Utd

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Charlton	Sheffield Utd
Results	DLLLL	LWDWW
Goals scored per game	0.6	1.6
Goals conceded per game	2.2	1.2

CharltonSheffield Utd

91%Form

27%

73%Attack

35%

65%Defence

37%

63%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

44%

56%Goals

34%

66%Overall

Head-to-head

4Charlton1Draws2Sheffield Utd

17 Jan 2026Charlton1 - 0Sheffield UtdChampionship
20 Sep 2025Sheffield Utd0 - 1CharltonChampionship
18 Mar 2017Sheffield Utd2 - 1CharltonLeague One
26 Nov 2016Charlton1 - 1Sheffield UtdLeague One
9 Mar 2014Sheffield Utd2 - 0CharltonFA Cup
21 Jan 2012Charlton1 - 0Sheffield UtdLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

Charlton3.70Bet365fair 27%

Draw3.54Pinnaclefair 27%

Sheffield Utd2.07Betanofair 46%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 6.8%.

Compare all Charlton vs Sheffield Utd odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Charlton	20%	26.5%	-6.5
Draw	34%	27.4%	+6.6
Sheffield Utd	46%	46.1%	-0.1

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Championship table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
9	Sheffield Utd	14	+3	22	WWDWL
21	Charlton	14	-11	14	LLLLD

Full Championship table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Charlton vs Sheffield Utd prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This Championship matchday 15 fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at The Valley. Charlton are 21st with 14 points from 14 games (goal difference -11); Sheffield Utd are 9th with 22 points from 14 (+3).

Charlton and Sheffield Utd form

Form is a concern for Charlton, who have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (DLLLL). Sheffield Utd have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (LWDWW) across their last 5. Over those games Charlton averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, Sheffield Utd 1.6 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

Sheffield Utd are the model’s favourites at 46%, 26 points clear of Charlton, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 0.9 for Charlton and 1.9 for Sheffield Utd, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 53% and both teams to score (GG) 50%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Sheffield Utd in attack (73-27), Sheffield Utd in defence (65-35), Sheffield Utd in form (91-9).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Charlton won 4, Sheffield Utd won 2 and 1 ended level, an average of 1.7 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 1 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Charlton 1-0 Sheffield Utd.

Charlton vs Sheffield Utd odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 3.70 for Charlton (Bet365), 3.54 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 2.07 for Sheffield Utd (Betano). With the margin removed the market reads 27% / 27% / 46%. Our model is 6.6 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.93 and under at 1.93.

Our Charlton vs Sheffield Utd prediction

The selection we are backing in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd: Sheffield Utd or draw (80% confidence, best price 1.31). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?: The model gives Charlton 20%, the draw 34% and Sheffield Utd 46%. Our tip is Sheffield Utd or draw.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 0.9 and 1.9.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?: GG is rated 50% by the model and the best GG price is 1.73.
When and where is Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Championship (matchday 15), The Valley.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.