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Serie A
Monza MonzaHome
LLWLD
Sunday, May 16, 2027 Monza
Parma ParmaAway
DLLLW

Monza vs Parma Prediction

The Monza vs Parma football prediction for May 16, 2027 in Serie A, Italy uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Monza 45%, draw 45% and Parma 10%. Expected goals are Monza -3.5 and Parma -1.5. Model advice: Winner : Monza. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Monza45%
Draw45%
Parma10%
Model adviceWinner : MonzaStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-3.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalMonzaModel winner
Double Chance—Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Monza has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -3.5–-1.5.
  • Winner : Monza

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form43% / 57%
Attacking potential75% / 25%
Defensive potential43% / 57%
Poisson distribution83% / 17%
Head to head36% / 64%
Goals H2H44% / 56%
Overall signal54% / 46%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Monza
LLWLD
Napoli1–4L
Torino2–3L
Cagliari4–0W
Lazio1–3L
Stade Brestois 292–2D
43% Form Rating 57%
Parma
DLLLW
Udinese0–0D
Lazio1–2L
Torino0–3L
Inter0–3L
Genoa2–1W

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings
Parma1–1Monza
Monza1–1Parma
Parma2–1Monza
Monza1–1Parma
Parma0–0Monza

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Monza45%
Expected Score-3.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance—If supported
Prediction analysis

Monza vs Parma prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 6, 2026 · Serie A35% / 35% / 30% · 1–1

March 15, 2025 · Serie A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

December 28, 2024 · Serie A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–1

March 2, 2022 · Serie B0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

October 17, 2021 · Serie B0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–0