Football prediction

Eredivisie Matchday 12

Psv Eindhoven vs Cambuur Prediction

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Sunday 8 November, 16:45 WAT in the Eredivisie (matchday 12). The model gives Cambuur 13%, the draw 28% and PSV Eindhoven 59%, and the pick is PSV Eindhoven to win (59%).

CambuurDWDWW

16:45Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

PSV EindhovenLWLDW

Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

Our prediction

PSV Eindhoven to win59% probability · best odds 1.40

13%28%59%

CambuurDrawPSV Eindhoven

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Goals: Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score: 66%
Expected goals: 2.0 – 1.7
Double chance: 1X 41% · 12 72% · X2 87%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Cambuur	PSV Eindhoven
Results	DWDWW	LWLDW
Goals scored per game	2.8	2.6
Goals conceded per game	0.8	1.2

CambuurPSV Eindhoven

61%

39%Form

52%

48%Attack

60%

40%Defence

34%

66%Poisson

20%

80%Head to head

35%

65%Goals

44%

56%Overall

Head-to-head

1Cambuur0Draws7PSV Eindhoven

12 Mar 2023PSV Eindhoven5 - 2CambuurEredivisie
1 Oct 2022Cambuur3 - 0PSV EindhovenEredivisie
23 Apr 2022Cambuur1 - 2PSV EindhovenEredivisie
21 Aug 2021PSV Eindhoven4 - 1CambuurEredivisie
1 May 2016PSV Eindhoven6 - 2CambuurEredivisie
12 Sep 2015Cambuur0 - 6PSV EindhovenEredivisie

Best odds (1X2)

Cambuur6.681xBetfair 15%

Draw5.87Pinnaclefair 17%

PSV Eindhoven1.40Bet365fair 68%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 6.4%.

Compare all Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Cambuur	13%	14.8%	-1.8
Draw	28%	17.1%	+10.9
PSV Eindhoven	59%	68.1%	-9.1

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Eredivisie table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	+22	23	WDLWL
9	Cambuur	11	+1	15	WWDWD

Full Eredivisie table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven: our prediction for 8 Nov 2026 WAT

This Eredivisie matchday 12 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 16:45 WAT at Kooi Stadion. Cambuur are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (goal difference +1); PSV Eindhoven are 3rd with 23 points from 11 (+22).

Cambuur and PSV Eindhoven form

Cambuur have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (DWDWW) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches PSV Eindhoven have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (LWLDW). Over those games Cambuur averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, PSV Eindhoven 2.6 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

PSV Eindhoven are the model’s favourites at 59%, 46 points clear of Cambuur, while the draw is rated 28%. Expected goals come out at 2.0 for Cambuur and 1.7 for PSV Eindhoven, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (8%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 71% and both teams to score (GG) 70%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Cambuur in defence (60-40), Cambuur in form (61-39).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Cambuur won 1, PSV Eindhoven won 7 and 0 ended level, an average of 4.9 goals per game. Both teams scored in 5 of them and 8 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 12 Mar 2023, finished PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Cambuur.

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 6.68 for Cambuur (1xBet), 5.87 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 1.40 for PSV Eindhoven (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 15% / 17% / 68%. Our model is 10.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.28 and under at 3.91.

Our Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

The selection we are backing in Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven to win (59% confidence, best price 1.40). For a goals angle, the model leans towards over 1.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?: The model gives Cambuur 13%, the draw 28% and PSV Eindhoven 59%. Our tip is PSV Eindhoven to win.
What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (8%), from expected goals of 2.0 and 1.7.
Will both teams score in Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?: GG is rated 70% by the model and the best GG price is 1.44.
When and where is Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?: Sunday 8 November, 16:45 WAT, Eredivisie (matchday 12), Kooi Stadion.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.