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Sunday, Nov 15, 2026 World
England EnglandAway
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Spain vs England Prediction

The Spain vs England football prediction for November 15, 2026 in UEFA Nations League, World uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Spain 45%, draw 45% and England 10%. Expected goals are Spain -4.5 and England -2.5. Model advice: Winner : Spain. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Spain45%
Draw45%
England10%
Model adviceWinner : SpainStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-4.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalSpainModel winner
Double Chance—Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Spain has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -4.5–-2.5.
  • Winner : Spain

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form67% / 33%
Attacking potential64% / 36%
Defensive potential50% / 50%
Poisson distribution0 / 100%
Head to head75% / 25%
Goals H2H56% / 44%
Overall signal62.4% / 37.6%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Spain

Recent completed results are not cached yet.

67% Form Rating 33%
England

Recent completed results are not cached yet.

Head to Head

Last 1 meeting
England2–3Spain

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Spain45%
Expected Score-4.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance—If supported
Prediction analysis

Spain vs England prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 26, 2026 · UEFA Nations League0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–3