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Serie B
Sport Recife Sport RecifeHome
LDWWL
Friday, Oct 16, 2026 Ilha do Retiro, Recife
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza ECAway
WDWDD

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC prediction for October 16, 2026 in Serie B, Brazil reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are Sport Recife 10%, draw 45% and Fortaleza EC 45%. Expected goals are Sport Recife -2.5 and Fortaleza EC -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Sport Recife10%
Draw45%
Fortaleza EC45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or Fortaleza ECStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalFortaleza ECWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Fortaleza EC has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form53% / 47%
Attacking potential50% / 50%
Defensive potential46% / 54%
Poisson distribution59% / 41%
Head to head20% / 80%
Goals H2H27% / 73%
Overall signal42.5% / 57.5%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Sport Recife
LDWWL
Fortaleza EC0–2L
Atletico Goianiense1–1D
São Bernardo2–1W
Athletic Club2–1W
Nautico Recife1–3L
53% Form Rating 47%
Fortaleza EC
WDWDD
Sport Recife2–0W
CRB2–2D
America Mineiro1–0W
Nautico Recife1–1D
Athletic Club2–2D

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Sport Recife0–2Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC2–1Sport Recife
Sport Recife0–2Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC1–2Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC2–0Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC1–0Sport Recife

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Fortaleza EC45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

October 16, 2026 · Serie B10% / 45% / 45% · —

June 28, 2026 · Serie B35% / 35% / 30% · 2–1