Football prediction

Serie B Matchday 37

Sport Recife vs Operario Pr Prediction

Operario-PR host Sport Recife in the Serie B (matchday 37) on Friday 6 November, 23:30 WAT. Our model rates the match 22% / 35% / 43% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Sport Recife or draw (78%).

Operario-PRLLLWL

23:30Fri 6 Nov 2026 · WAT

Sport RecifeWDLWD

Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa

Our prediction

Sport Recife or draw78% probability · best odds 1.36

22%35%43%

Operario-PRDrawSport Recife

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 54%
Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 57% · 12 65% · X2 78%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Sport Recife

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Operario-PR	Sport Recife
Results	LLLWL	WDLWD
Goals scored per game	0.6	1.2
Goals conceded per game	1.4	1.2

Operario-PRSport Recife

27%

73%Form

33%

67%Attack

46%

54%Defence

48%

52%Poisson

62%

38%Head to head

44%

56%Goals

43%

57%Overall

Head-to-head

3Operario-PR2Draws2Sport Recife

18 Jul 2026Sport Recife2 - 2Operario-PRSerie B
4 Nov 2024Operario-PR2 - 1Sport RecifeSerie B
17 Oct 2024Sport Recife1 - 2Operario-PRSerie B
28 Oct 2022Sport Recife5 - 1Operario-PRSerie B
14 Jul 2022Operario-PR0 - 0Sport RecifeSerie B
28 Sep 2019Sport Recife3 - 1Operario-PRSerie B

Best odds (1X2)

Operario-PR3.12Pinnaclefair 31%

Draw3.33Pinnaclefair 29%

Sport Recife2.35Bet365fair 40%

Compared across 5 bookmakers. Market margin 7.2%.

Compare all Operario-PR vs Sport Recife odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Operario-PR	22%	30.5%	-8.5
Draw	35%	29.1%	+5.9
Sport Recife	43%	40.4%	+2.6

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Serie B table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Sport Recife	36	+9	55	DWLDW
12	Operario-PR	36	-2	51	LWLLL

Full Serie B table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Operario-PR vs Sport Recife preview, prediction and stats – 6 Nov 2026 WAT

Friday 6 November, 23:30 WAT is the date for this Serie B matchday 37 meeting at Estadio Germano Kruger. Operario-PR are 12th with 51 points from 36 games (goal difference -2); Sport Recife are 8th with 55 points from 36 (+9).

Operario-PR and Sport Recife form

Operario-PR are struggling for results: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the last 5 (LLLWL). Over their last 5 matches Sport Recife have managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (WDLWD). Over those games Operario-PR averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Sport Recife 1.2 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

Sport Recife are the model’s favourites at 43%, 21 points clear of Operario-PR, while the draw is rated 35%. Expected goals come out at 0.9 for Operario-PR and 1.3 for Sport Recife, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 38% and both teams to score (GG) 43%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Sport Recife in attack (67-33), Sport Recife in form (73-27).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Operario-PR won 3, Sport Recife won 2 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 6 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 18 Jul 2026, finished Sport Recife 2-2 Operario-PR.

Operario-PR vs Sport Recife odds

Across 5 bookmakers the best prices are 3.12 for Operario-PR (Pinnacle), 3.33 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 2.35 for Sport Recife (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 31% / 29% / 40%. Our model is 5.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and under at 1.85.

Our Operario-PR vs Sport Recife prediction

Our pick for Operario-PR vs Sport Recife is Sport Recife or draw, rated 78%, best price 1.36. Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?: The model gives Operario-PR 22%, the draw 35% and Sport Recife 43%. Our tip is Sport Recife or draw.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (14%), from expected goals of 0.9 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?: GG is rated 43% by the model and the best GG price is 1.73.
When and where is Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?: Friday 6 November, 23:30 WAT, Serie B (matchday 37), Estadio Germano Kruger.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

July 18, 2026 · Serie B10% / 45% / 45% · 2–2