Football prediction

Major League Soccer predictions Matchday 34

Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego Prediction

San Diego host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer (matchday 34) on Sunday 8 November, 01:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 56% / 29% / 15% (home / draw / away), and the pick is San Diego to win (56%).

San DiegoDDDLW

01:00Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

Sporting Kansas CityLLLLD

Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego

Our prediction

San Diego to win56% probability · best odds 1.50

56%29%15%

San DiegoDrawSporting Kansas City

Most likely score: 2 - 1
Goals: Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score: 69%
Expected goals: 2.2 – 1.5
Double chance: 1X 85% · 12 71% · X2 44%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : San Diego or draw and +1.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	San Diego	Sporting Kansas City
Results	DDDLW	LLLLD
Goals scored per game	1.8	0.8
Goals conceded per game	2.2	2.6

San DiegoSporting Kansas City

86%

14%Form

69%

31%Attack

54%

46%Defence

75%

25%Poisson

88%

13%Head to head

100%

0%Goals

74%

26%Overall

Head-to-head

2San Diego1Draws0Sporting Kansas City

8 Mar 2026Sporting Kansas City0 - 1San DiegoMajor League Soccer
10 Aug 2025Sporting Kansas City0 - 2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
18 May 2025San Diego0 - 0Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

Best odds (1X2)

San Diego1.50Dafabetfair 64%

Draw5.40Dafabetfair 19%

Sporting Kansas City5.80Betanofair 17%

Compared across 9 bookmakers. Market margin 7.6%.

Compare all San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
San Diego	56%	64.1%	-8.1
Draw	29%	18.6%	+10.4
Sporting Kansas City	15%	17.3%	-2.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Major League Soccer table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
13	San Diego	33	-5	38	WLDDD
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	-42	23	DLLLL

Full Major League Soccer table and predictions

Prediction analysis

San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City: our prediction for 8 Nov 2026 WAT

Sunday 8 November, 01:00 WAT is the date for this Major League Soccer matchday 34 meeting at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego are 13th with 38 points from 33 games (goal difference -5); Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 23 points from 33 (-42). The 15-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

San Diego and Sporting Kansas City form

San Diego have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (DDDLW) across their last 5. Form is a concern for Sporting Kansas City, who have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (LLLLD). Over those games San Diego averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, Sporting Kansas City 0.8 and 2.6.

What the numbers say

San Diego are the model’s favourites at 56%, 41 points clear of Sporting Kansas City, while the draw is rated 29%. Expected goals come out at 2.2 for San Diego and 1.5 for Sporting Kansas City, and the most likely single scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 71% and both teams to score (GG) 68%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: San Diego in attack (69-31), San Diego in form (86-14).

Head-to-head record

In the last 3 meetings San Diego won 2, Sporting Kansas City won 0 and 1 ended level, an average of 1.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 0 of them and 0 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Sporting Kansas City 0-1 San Diego.

San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City odds

Across 9 bookmakers the best prices are 1.50 for San Diego (Dafabet), 5.40 for the draw (Dafabet) and 5.80 for Sporting Kansas City (Betano). With the margin removed the market reads 64% / 19% / 17%. Our model is 10.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.27 and under at 4.10.

Our San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

Our pick for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City is San Diego to win, rated 56%, best price 1.50. For a goals angle, the model leans towards over 1.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 2-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?: The model gives San Diego 56%, the draw 29% and Sporting Kansas City 15%. Our tip is San Diego to win.
What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?: 2-1 is the most likely scoreline (9%), from expected goals of 2.2 and 1.5.
Will both teams score in San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?: GG is rated 68% by the model and the best GG price is 1.37.
When and where is San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?: Sunday 8 November, 01:00 WAT, Major League Soccer (matchday 34), Snapdragon Stadium.

Compare every market on the San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.