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Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls New York Red BullsHome
LWLWW
Saturday, Oct 17, 2026 Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
Toronto FC Toronto FCAway
DWLLL

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction

For New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC on October 17, 2026 in Major League Soccer, USA, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are New York Red Bulls 45%, draw 45% and Toronto FC 10%. Expected goals are New York Red Bulls -2.5 and Toronto FC -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : New York Red Bulls or draw. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
New York Red Bulls45%
Draw45%
Toronto FC10%
Model adviceDouble chance : New York Red Bulls or drawStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalNew York Red BullsWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • New York Red Bulls has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : New York Red Bulls or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form69% / 31%
Attacking potential54% / 46%
Defensive potential67% / 33%
Poisson distribution59% / 41%
Head to head75% / 25%
Goals H2H67% / 33%
Overall signal65.2% / 34.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
New York Red Bulls
LWLWW
DC United1–2L
San Diego4–1W
St. Louis City0–3L
New York City FC1–0W
Columbus Crew1–0W
69% Form Rating 31%
Toronto FC
DWLLL
Orlando City SC3–3D
CF Montreal2–1W
Nashville SC0–2L
St. Louis City1–3L
Orlando City SC0–3L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Toronto FC1–1New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC1–1New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls2–1Toronto FC
Toronto FC1–4New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls0–0Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls3–0Toronto FC

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2New York Red Bulls45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction analysis

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