Football prediction

Liga MX predictions Apertura - 16

U N A M Pumas vs Club America Prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas host Club America in the Liga MX (apertura - 16) on Sunday 8 November, 04:10 WAT. Our model rates the match 22% / 34% / 44% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Club America to win (44%).

U.N.A.M. - PumasDWLDW

04:10Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

Club AmericaWWLDD

Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City

Our prediction

Club America to win44% probability · best odds 2.20

22%34%44%

U.N.A.M. - PumasDrawClub America

Most likely score: 1 - 2
Goals: Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score: 63%
Expected goals: 1.8 – 2.2
Double chance: 1X 56% · 12 66% · X2 78%

Model advice: Combo Winner : Club America and +1.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Club America
Results	DWLDW	WWLDD
Goals scored per game	1.6	2.8
Goals conceded per game	1.6	2.0

U.N.A.M. - PumasClub America

50%

50%Form

36%

64%Attack

56%

44%Defence

32%

68%Poisson

38%

62%Head to head

40%

60%Goals

42%

58%Overall

Head-to-head

3U.N.A.M. - Pumas2Draws3Club America

11 May 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas3 - 3Club AmericaLiga MX
3 May 2026Club America3 - 3U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
22 Mar 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas1 - 0Club AmericaLiga MX
28 Sep 2025Club America4 - 1U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
23 Feb 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas0 - 2Club AmericaLiga MX
30 Sep 2024Club America0 - 1U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

Best odds (1X2)

U.N.A.M. - Pumas3.20Bet365fair 30%

Draw3.70BetVictorfair 26%

Club America2.20Bet365fair 44%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 7.9%.

Compare all U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
U.N.A.M. - Pumas	22%	30.4%	-8.4
Draw	34%	26.1%	+7.9
Club America	44%	43.5%	+0.5

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Liga MX table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Club America	15	+15	29	DDLWW
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	15	-2	20	WDLWD

Full Liga MX table and predictions

Prediction analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America: our prediction for 8 Nov 2026 WAT

Sunday 8 November, 04:10 WAT is the date for this Liga MX apertura – 16 meeting at Estadio Olímpico Universitario. U.N.A.M. – Pumas are 10th with 20 points from 15 games (goal difference -2); Club America are 1st with 29 points from 15 (+15).

U.N.A.M. – Pumas and Club America form

U.N.A.M. – Pumas have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (DWLDW) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Club America have managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (WWLDD). Over those games U.N.A.M. – Pumas averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, Club America 2.8 and 2.0.

What the numbers say

Club America are the model’s favourites at 44%, 22 points clear of U.N.A.M. – Pumas, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.8 for U.N.A.M. – Pumas and 2.2 for Club America, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 75% and both teams to score (GG) 73%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Club America in attack (64-36), U.N.A.M. – Pumas in defence (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings U.N.A.M. – Pumas won 3, Club America won 3 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished U.N.A.M. – Pumas 3-3 Club America.

U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 3.20 for U.N.A.M. – Pumas (Bet365), 3.70 for the draw (BetVictor) and 2.20 for Club America (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 30% / 26% / 44%. Our model is 7.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.57 and under at 2.41.

Our U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America prediction

Our pick for U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America is Club America to win, rated 44%, best price 2.20. For a goals angle, the model leans towards over 1.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 1-2. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America?: The model gives U.N.A.M. – Pumas 22%, the draw 34% and Club America 44%. Our tip is Club America to win.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America?: 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (8%), from expected goals of 1.8 and 2.2.
Will both teams score in U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America?: GG is rated 73% by the model and the best GG price is 1.50.
When and where is U.N.A.M. – Pumas vs Club America?: Sunday 8 November, 04:10 WAT, Liga MX (apertura – 16), Estadio Olímpico Universitario.

Compare every market on the U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.