Football prediction

Primera División predictions Clausura - 17

Utc Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction

Monday 16 November, 19:00 WAT: UTC Cajamarca welcome Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División (clausura - 17). Home win 37%, draw 35%, away win 28% according to our model, and the pick is UTC Cajamarca or draw (72%).

UTC CajamarcaLLWLD

19:00Mon 16 Nov 2026 · WAT

Club Deportivo Los ChankasWLLDD

Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

Our prediction

UTC Cajamarca or draw72% probability · best odds 1.60

37%35%28%

UTC CajamarcaDrawClub Deportivo Los Chankas

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 56%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 72% · 12 65% · X2 63%

Model advice: Double chance : UTC Cajamarca or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	UTC Cajamarca	Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Results	LLWLD	WLLDD
Goals scored per game	1.2	0.8
Goals conceded per game	1.4	1.4

UTC CajamarcaClub Deportivo Los Chankas

44%

56%Form

60%

40%Attack

50%

50%Defence

51%

49%Poisson

62%

38%Head to head

62%

38%Goals

55%

45%Overall

Head-to-head

2UTC Cajamarca2Draws1Club Deportivo Los Chankas

31 May 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas2 - 2UTC CajamarcaPrimera División
29 Sep 2025UTC Cajamarca2 - 0Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
11 May 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas2 - 1UTC CajamarcaPrimera División
19 Sep 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas1 - 1UTC CajamarcaPrimera División
15 Apr 2024UTC Cajamarca2 - 0Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División

Best odds (1X2)

UTC Cajamarca3.05Dafabetfair 32%

Draw3.30BetVictorfair 29%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas2.70Marathonbetfair 39%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 9.3%.

Compare all UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
UTC Cajamarca	37%	32.3%	+4.7
Draw	35%	29.1%	+5.9
Club Deportivo Los Chankas	28%	38.6%	-10.6

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera División table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	-12	48	DDLLW
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	-20	14	DLWLL
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	+4	34	DLWDL
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	-5	18	DDLLL
15	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	16	-16	14	DDLLW
18	UTC Cajamarca	16	-15	6	DLWLL

Full Primera División table and predictions

Prediction analysis

UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas preview, prediction and stats – 16 Nov 2026 WAT

This Primera División clausura – 17 fixture is played on Monday 16 November, 19:00 WAT at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (goal difference -15); Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th with 14 points from 16 (-16).

UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas form

UTC Cajamarca are struggling for results: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 (LLWLD). Over their last 5 matches Club Deportivo Los Chankas have managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (WLLDD). Over those games UTC Cajamarca averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.8 and 1.4.

What the numbers say

UTC Cajamarca are the model’s favourites at 37%, 9 points clear of Club Deportivo Los Chankas, while the draw is rated 35%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 43% and both teams to score (GG) 48%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: UTC Cajamarca in attack (60-40), Club Deportivo Los Chankas in form (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 5 meetings UTC Cajamarca won 2, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 1 and 2 ended level, an average of 2.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-2 UTC Cajamarca.

UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 3.05 for UTC Cajamarca (Dafabet), 3.30 for the draw (BetVictor) and 2.70 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Marathonbet). With the margin removed the market reads 32% / 29% / 39%. Our model is 5.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.90 and under at 1.91.

Our UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction

The selection we are backing in UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: UTC Cajamarca or draw (72% confidence, best price 1.60). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?: The model gives UTC Cajamarca 37%, the draw 35% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 28%. Our tip is UTC Cajamarca or draw.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?: GG is rated 48% by the model and the best GG price is 1.73.
When and where is UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?: Monday 16 November, 19:00 WAT, Primera División (clausura – 17), Estadio Héroes de San Ramón.

Compare every market on the UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

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