Championship

West HamHome

WDWLD

Saturday, Sep 5, 2026 14:00 London Stadium, London

DerbyAway

WLDLL

West Ham vs Derby Prediction

Double chance : West Ham or draw Review the West Ham vs Derby prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Championship.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction

Current

West Ham45%

Draw45%

Derby10%

Model adviceDouble chance : West Ham or drawStrongest probability: 45%

Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals

Goals Market—When returned by feed

Winner SignalWest HamWin or draw

Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

West Ham has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
Double chance : West Ham or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal

Form56% / 44%

Attacking potential62% / 38%

Defensive potential50% / 50%

Poisson distribution42% / 58%

Head to head67% / 33%

Goals H2H67% / 33%

Overall signal57.3% / 42.7%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches

West Ham

WDWLD

Wolves4–2W

Watford1–1D

Southampton4–1W

Charlton1–2L

Burnley2–2D

56% Form Rating 44%

Derby

WLDLL

Portsmouth2–0W

Swansea0–3L

Cardiff2–2D

Charlton1–2L

Lincoln1–2L

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings

Jan 30, 2023

Derby0–2

West Ham

Dec 31, 2011

Derby2–1

West Ham

Nov 26, 2011

West Ham3–1

Derby

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2West Ham45%

Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals

Goals Signal—Feed market

Double Chance1XIf supported

Prediction analysis