UEFA Nations League predictions League a - 5
England vs Croatia Odds
Best England vs Croatia odds from 10 bookmakers: 1.28 England, 7.00 draw, 11.92 Croatia. Thursday 12 November, 20:45 WAT kick-off, UEFA Nations League (league a - 5).
Wembley Stadium, London
England vs Croatia odds by market
Match Winner10 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | England | Draw | Croatia |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 7.00 | 8.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 6.10 | 11.75 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 6.01 | 11.92 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.13 | 7.91 |
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 6.17 | 11.80 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.90 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.60 | 11.00 |
| Average | 1.25 | 5.99 | 10.49 |
| Fair probability | 75.3% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
Average bookmaker margin: 6.2%.
Double Chance7 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.05 | 1.12 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 1.14 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 1.08 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 1.04 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.05 | 1.14 | 3.96 |
| Betano | 1.07 | 1.13 | 3.90 |
| Average | 1.05 | 1.11 | 3.91 |
Home/Away5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | England | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.07 | 8.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 8.00 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.08 | 6.80 |
| Average | 1.06 | 8.06 |
| Fair probability | 88.4% | 11.6% |
Average bookmaker margin: 6.7%.
Goals Over/Under8 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 5.50 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 5.15 | 1.46 | 2.49 | 2.27 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 6.00 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 5.75 | 1.47 | 2.44 | 2.13 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.50 | 2.60 | 2.28 | 1.65 |
| SBO | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 5.29 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 2.30 | 1.68 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 5.20 | 1.52 | 2.60 | 2.27 | 1.67 |
| Average | 1.13 | 5.48 | 1.49 | 2.56 | 2.24 | 1.65 |
Both Teams Score7 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.82 |
| Average | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| Fair probability | 48.4% | 51.6% |
Average bookmaker margin: 7.1%.
Total - Home7 bookmakers
- Under 6.51.01Bet365
- Under 5.51.03Bet365
- Over 11.051xBet
- Over 0.51.06Betano
- Under 4.51.11Betfair
- Under 41.111xBet
- Under 3.51.30Bet365
- Over 1.51.33Betano
- Under 31.42Marathonbet
- Over 21.51Marathonbet
- Under 2.51.83Betfair
- Over 2.52.03Pinnacle
- Under 22.52Marathonbet
- Over 32.82Marathonbet
- Under 1.53.51Pinnacle
- Over 3.53.72Pinnacle
- Over 46.10Marathonbet
- Over 4.57.00Bet365
Total - Away7 bookmakers
- Under 2.51.03Betano
- Under 1.51.17Bet365
- Under 11.28Marathonbet
- Over 0.51.901xBet
- Under 0.51.94Pinnacle
- Over 13.68Marathonbet
- Over 1.55.50Marathonbet
- Over 2.517.00Bet365
- Over 3.551.00Bet365
Odd/Even7 bookmakers
- Odd1.93SBO
- Even2.00Bet365
Goals Over/Under First Half9 bookmakers
- Under 4.51.01Betano
- Under 3.51.05Betano
- Under 2.251.171xBet
- Under 2.51.19Betano
- Under 2.01.26Marathonbet
- Over 0.51.28Betano
- Over 0.751.34BetVictor
- Under 1.751.44BetVictor
- Over 1.01.52Betano
- Under 1.51.67Bet365
- Over 1.251.90SBO
- Under 1.251.96Pinnacle
- Over 1.52.23Pinnacle
- Under 1.02.67Pinnacle
- Over 1.752.72Pinnacle
- Under 0.753.30Pinnacle
- Over 2.03.72Marathonbet
- Under 0.54.00Bet365
Asian Handicap8 bookmakers
- Away -41.031xBet
- Home +0.51.08Bet365
- Home +01.10Bet365
- Away -3.751.12Bet365
- Away -3.51.17Bet365
- Home -0.251.18Bet365
- Away -3.251.19Bet365
- Away -31.21Bet365
- Home -0.51.25Bet365
- Home -0.751.30Bet365
- Away -2.751.32Bet365
- Home -11.39Betano
- Away -2.51.45Bet365
- Away -2.251.53Pinnacle
- Home -1.251.561xBet
- Away -21.68Bet365
- Home -1.51.781xBet
- Away -1.751.94Pinnacle
Handicap Result3 bookmakers
- Home +11.07Bet365
- Away -41.17Bet365
- Away -31.44Bet365
- Home -11.71Marathonbet
- Away -22.10Bet365
- Home -22.73Marathonbet
- Draw -14.00Bet365
- Away -14.05Marathonbet
- Draw -24.20Marathonbet
- Home -35.00Bet365
- Draw -35.40Marathonbet
- Draw -48.00Bet365
- Home -411.00Bet365
- Draw +113.00Betfair
- Away +126.00Betfair
Exact Score8 bookmakers
- 2:07.20Betano
- 3:08.25Betano
- 1:09.00Bet365
- 2:19.50Betano
- 3:111.00Bet365
- 4:013.00Betano
- 1:113.00Bet365
- 4:117.00Betano
- 0:021.00Bet365
- 5:024.00Betano
- 2:226.00Bet365
- 3:228.00Betano
- 0:130.00Marathonbet
- 1:232.00Betano
- 5:132.00Betano
- 4:245.00Betano
First Half Winner9 bookmakers
- England1.67Betano
- Draw3.00Pinnacle
- Croatia9.59Pinnacle
HT/FT Double6 bookmakers
- Home/Home1.75Betano
- Draw/Home4.50Betfair
- Draw/Draw10.00Betfair
- Away/Away20.00Marathonbet
- 1X23.00Marathonbet
- X223.00Marathonbet
- Away/Home24.00Marathonbet
- Away/Draw25.00Marathonbet
- 1290.00Betano
Clean Sheet - Home1 bookmaker
- No1.80Bet365
- Yes1.91Bet365
Clean Sheet - Away1 bookmaker
- No1.05Bet365
- Yes11.00Bet365
Corners Over Under6 bookmakers
- Over 3.51.01Betano
- Under 17.51.01Betano
- Under 16.51.02Betano
- Over 4.51.03Betano
- Under 15.51.03Betano
- Under 14.51.06Betano
- Over 5.51.07Betano
- Under 13.51.10Betano
- Over 6.51.15Betano
- Under 12.51.18Betano
- Over 7.51.30Betfair
- Under 11.51.30Betano
- Under 11.251.301xBet
- Over 8.251.391xBet
- Under 111.411xBet
- Under 10.751.411xBet
- Under 10.51.53Pinnacle
- Over 8.751.541xBet
Cards Over/Under1 bookmaker
- Over 1.51.15Betano
- Under 5.51.18Betano
- Under 4.51.38Betano
- Over 2.51.44Betano
- Under 3.51.80Betano
- Over 3.51.98Betano
- Under 2.52.67Betano
- Over 4.52.90Betano
- Over 5.54.50Betano
- Under 1.54.90Betano
Anytime Goal Scorer1 bookmaker
- Harry Kane1.53Bet365
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin1.95Bet365
- Jude Bellingham2.25Bet365
- Anthony Gordon2.50Bet365
- Eberechi Eze3.00Bet365
- Morgan Rogers3.00Bet365
- Rio Ngumoha3.00Bet365
- Joshua King3.40Bet365
- Jobe Bellingham3.40Bet365
- Morgan Gibbs-White3.40Bet365
- Dion Beljo4.33Bet365
- Igor Matanovic4.33Bet365
- Trent Alexander-Arnold5.50Bet365
- Ante Budimir5.50Bet365
- Andrej Kramaric5.50Bet365
- Declan Rice6.00Bet365
- James Garner6.00Bet365
- Myles Lewis-Skelly6.00Bet365
First Goal Scorer1 bookmaker
- Harry Kane3.40Bet365
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin5.00Bet365
- Jude Bellingham6.00Bet365
- Anthony Gordon7.00Bet365
- Eberechi Eze8.50Bet365
- Morgan Rogers8.50Bet365
- Rio Ngumoha8.50Bet365
- Joshua King10.00Bet365
- Jobe Bellingham10.00Bet365
- Morgan Gibbs-White10.00Bet365
- Dion Beljo13.00Bet365
- Igor Matanovic13.00Bet365
- Trent Alexander-Arnold17.00Bet365
- Ante Budimir17.00Bet365
- Andrej Kramaric17.00Bet365
- Declan Rice19.00Bet365
- James Garner19.00Bet365
- Myles Lewis-Skelly19.00Bet365
Updated 10 Nov, 05:45 WAT · Highlighted cells are the best price for each outcome. Prices move; confirm them on the bookmaker before betting.
Best odds (1X2)
Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 6.2%.
Model vs bookmakers
| Outcome | Our model | Market (fair) | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | 65% | 75.3% | -10.3 |
| Draw | 29% | 15.7% | +13.3 |
| Croatia | 6% | 9.0% | -3.0 |
A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.
England vs Croatia odds analysis
England are the bookmakers’ favourites, with a margin-free probability of 75%. The longest price on them is 1.28 at Betano, while Croatia can be backed at up to 11.92. The draw pays 7.00 at best.
The average 1X2 margin is 6.2%. Shopping for the best price matters here: the gap between the highest and the average price is where most of that margin sits.
Goals are expected: the market gives Over 2.5 a 63% chance (best price 1.52).
Both teams to score (GG) is priced at 2.00 for Yes and 1.83 for No, a 48% chance that both sides find the net.
Our model is more positive than the market on the draw, by 13.3 percentage points. That is the outcome to research first.
Comparing England vs Croatia odds across bookmakers
England vs Croatia odds questions
What are the best odds for England vs Croatia?
England 1.28 (Betano), draw 7.00 (Bet365), Croatia 11.92 (Pinnacle), from 10 bookmakers compared in the latest update.
Who is the favourite in England vs Croatia?
England, with a margin-free probability of 75%.
What are the over/under 2.5 odds for England vs Croatia?
Over 2.5 goals is 1.52 and under 2.5 is 2.63 at the best available prices.