America Mineiro vs Avai Prediction

This Serie B matchday 38 fixture is played on Saturday 14 November, 20:30 WAT at Arena Independência. America Mineiro are 19th with 29 points from 37 games (goal difference -28); Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37 (-12). The 11-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

America Mineiro and Avai form

Over their last 5 matches America Mineiro have managed 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats (LLWWW). Avai have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (WDLLW) across their last 5. Over those games America Mineiro averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, Avai 0.6 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

Avai are the model’s favourites at 41%, 12 points clear of America Mineiro, while the draw is rated 30%. Expected goals come out at 0.9 for America Mineiro and 0.6 for Avai, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-0 (22%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 19% and both teams to score (GG) 27%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: America Mineiro in attack (63-38), America Mineiro in defence (57-43), America Mineiro in form (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings America Mineiro won 3, Avai won 3 and 2 ended level, an average of 2.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 5 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 21 Jul 2026, finished Avai 2-1 America Mineiro.

America Mineiro vs Avai odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 3.73 for America Mineiro (Pinnacle), 3.70 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 1.95 for Avai (Betfair). With the margin removed the market reads 26% / 26% / 48%. Model and market agree closely, so there is no obvious price edge on the match result. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.93 and under at 1.88.

Our America Mineiro vs Avai prediction

The selection we are backing in America Mineiro vs Avai: America Mineiro to win (29% confidence, best price 3.73). For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win America Mineiro vs Avai?

The model gives America Mineiro 29%, the draw 30% and Avai 41%. Our tip is America Mineiro to win.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Avai?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline (22%), from expected goals of 0.9 and 0.6.

Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Avai?

GG is rated 27% by the model and the best GG price is 1.78.

When and where is America Mineiro vs Avai?

Saturday 14 November, 20:30 WAT, Serie B (matchday 38), Arena Independência.

Compare every market on the America Mineiro vs Avai odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.