Football prediction

Liga MX predictions Apertura - 16

Atlas vs Cf Pachuca Prediction

Sunday 8 November, 00:00 WAT: Atlas welcome CF Pachuca in the Liga MX (apertura - 16). Home win 29%, draw 34%, away win 37% according to our model, and the pick is CF Pachuca or draw (71%).

AtlasDWLWW

00:00Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

CF PachucaDLLWW

Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Our prediction

CF Pachuca or draw71% probability · best odds 1.62

29%34%37%

AtlasDrawCF Pachuca

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 60%
Expected goals: 1.8 – 1.9
Double chance: 1X 63% · 12 66% · X2 71%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or CF Pachuca

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Atlas	CF Pachuca
Results	DWLWW	DLLWW
Goals scored per game	2.0	2.0
Goals conceded per game	1.8	1.6

AtlasCF Pachuca

59%

41%Form

50%

50%Attack

47%

53%Defence

24%

76%Poisson

29%

71%Head to head

38%

63%Goals

41%

59%Overall

Head-to-head

2Atlas1Draws5CF Pachuca

14 Feb 2026CF Pachuca3 - 1AtlasLiga MX
10 Aug 2025Atlas0 - 3CF PachucaLiga MX
2 Feb 2025CF Pachuca0 - 0AtlasLiga MX
14 Sep 2024Atlas2 - 0CF PachucaLiga MX
1 Feb 2024CF Pachuca4 - 3AtlasLiga MX
2 Nov 2023Atlas0 - 2CF PachucaLiga MX

Best odds (1X2)

Atlas2.33Pinnaclefair 41%

Draw3.61Pinnaclefair 27%

CF Pachuca3.20Bet365fair 32%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 7.7%.

Compare all Atlas vs CF Pachuca odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Atlas	29%	41.3%	-12.3
Draw	34%	27.1%	+6.9
CF Pachuca	37%	31.7%	+5.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Liga MX table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Atlas	15	0	27	WWLWD
12	CF Pachuca	15	+6	19	WWLLD

Full Liga MX table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction and preview (8 Nov 2026 WAT)

This Liga MX apertura – 16 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 00:00 WAT at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas are 4th with 27 points from 15 games (goal difference 0); CF Pachuca are 12th with 19 points from 15 (+6).

Atlas and CF Pachuca form

Over their last 5 matches Atlas have managed 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (DWLWW). CF Pachuca have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (DLLWW) across their last 5. Over those games Atlas averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, CF Pachuca 2.0 and 1.6.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Atlas 29%, CF Pachuca 37%, with 34% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.8 for Atlas and 1.9 for CF Pachuca, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (8%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 71% and both teams to score (GG) 70%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Atlas in form (59-41).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Atlas won 2, CF Pachuca won 5 and 1 ended level, an average of 3.4 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, finished CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas.

Atlas vs CF Pachuca odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 2.33 for Atlas (Pinnacle), 3.61 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 3.20 for CF Pachuca (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 41% / 27% / 32%. Our model is 6.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.70 and under at 2.19.

Our Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction

The selection we are backing in Atlas vs CF Pachuca: CF Pachuca or draw (71% confidence, best price 1.62). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Atlas vs CF Pachuca?: The model gives Atlas 29%, the draw 34% and CF Pachuca 37%. Our tip is CF Pachuca or draw.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (8%), from expected goals of 1.8 and 1.9.
Will both teams score in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?: GG is rated 70% by the model and the best GG price is 1.57.
When and where is Atlas vs CF Pachuca?: Sunday 8 November, 00:00 WAT, Liga MX (apertura – 16), Estadio Jalisco.

Compare every market on the Atlas vs CF Pachuca odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.