Football prediction

Primera División Clausura - 16

Atletico Grau vs Cusco Prediction

Atletico Grau vs Cusco kicks off on Friday 6 November, 21:00 WAT in the Primera División (clausura - 16). The model gives Atletico Grau 26%, the draw 34% and Cusco 40%, and the pick is Cusco or draw (74%).

Atletico GrauDLDLL

21:00Fri 6 Nov 2026 · WAT

CuscoLLWWL

Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura

Our prediction

Cusco or draw74% probability · best odds 1.50

26%34%40%

Atletico GrauDrawCusco

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 57%
Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.6
Double chance: 1X 60% · 12 66% · X2 74%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Cusco

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Atletico Grau	Cusco
Results	DLDLL	LLWWL
Goals scored per game	0.6	1.2
Goals conceded per game	2.0	1.2

Atletico GrauCusco

25%

75%Form

33%

67%Attack

38%

63%Defence

59%

41%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

43%

58%Overall

Head-to-head

3Atletico Grau3Draws2Cusco

23 May 2026Cusco1 - 0Atletico GrauPrimera División
25 Oct 2025Cusco1 - 0Atletico GrauPrimera División
19 Jun 2025Atletico Grau0 - 0CuscoPrimera División
7 Mar 2025Atletico Grau0 - 0CuscoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
28 Oct 2024Cusco0 - 1Atletico GrauPrimera División
17 May 2024Atletico Grau4 - 0CuscoPrimera División

Best odds (1X2)

Atletico Grau2.60Bet365fair 36%

Draw3.45Pinnaclefair 27%

Cusco2.57Pinnaclefair 37%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 8.6%.

Compare all Atletico Grau vs Cusco odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Atletico Grau	26%	36.0%	-10.0
Draw	34%	27.3%	+6.7
Cusco	40%	36.7%	+3.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera División table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	Cusco	32	+2	51	LWWLL
14	Atletico Grau	32	-12	34	LLDLD
6	Cusco	17	-3	27	WWLDD
16	Atletico Grau	17	-6	16	WLWLL
10	Cusco	15	+5	24	LWWLL
11	Atletico Grau	15	-6	18	LLDLD

Full Primera División table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction and preview (6 Nov 2026 WAT)

This Primera División clausura – 16 fixture is played on Friday 6 November, 21:00 WAT at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Atletico Grau are 11th with 18 points from 15 games (goal difference -6); Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 15 (+5).

Atletico Grau and Cusco form

Atletico Grau are struggling for results: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (DLDLL). Form is a concern for Cusco, who have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (LLWWL). Over those games Atletico Grau averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, Cusco 1.2 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

Cusco are the model’s favourites at 40%, 14 points clear of Atletico Grau, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 0.9 for Atletico Grau and 1.6 for Cusco, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 45% and both teams to score (GG) 47%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Cusco in attack (67-33), Cusco in defence (63-38), Cusco in form (75-25).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Atletico Grau won 3, Cusco won 2 and 3 ended level, an average of 1.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 0 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Cusco 1-0 Atletico Grau.

Atletico Grau vs Cusco odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 2.60 for Atletico Grau (Bet365), 3.45 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 2.57 for Cusco (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 36% / 27% / 37%. Our model is 6.7 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.85 and under at 1.98.

Our Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction

The selection we are backing in Atletico Grau vs Cusco: Cusco or draw (74% confidence, best price 1.50). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico Grau vs Cusco?: The model gives Atletico Grau 26%, the draw 34% and Cusco 40%. Our tip is Cusco or draw.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Cusco?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 0.9 and 1.6.
Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Cusco?: GG is rated 47% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is Atletico Grau vs Cusco?: Friday 6 November, 21:00 WAT, Primera División (clausura – 16), Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.