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La Liga
Villarreal VillarrealHome
LDWLW
Wednesday, Apr 21, 2027 Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Atletico Madrid Atletico MadridAway
DWWWW

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

The Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid football prediction for April 21, 2027 in La Liga, Spain uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Villarreal 10%, draw 45% and Atletico Madrid 45%. Expected goals are Villarreal -2.5 and Atletico Madrid -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Villarreal10%
Draw45%
Atletico Madrid45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or Atletico MadridStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalAtletico MadridWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Atletico Madrid has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form40% / 60%
Attacking potential44% / 56%
Defensive potential33% / 67%
Poisson distribution31% / 69%
Head to head50% / 50%
Goals H2H56% / 44%
Overall signal42.3% / 57.7%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Villarreal
LDWLW
Liverpool3–4L
Elche0–0D
Napoli3–1W
Real Madrid0–1L
Levante3–1W
40% Form Rating 60%
Atletico Madrid
DWWWW
VfB Stuttgart1–1D
Espanyol1–0W
Manchester United2–0W
Alaves2–1W
Real Madrid2–1W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Atletico Madrid2–2Villarreal
Villarreal5–1Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid2–0Villarreal
Atletico Madrid1–1Villarreal
Villarreal2–2Atletico Madrid
Villarreal1–2Atletico Madrid

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Atletico Madrid45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

August 23, 2026 · La Liga45% / 45% / 10% · 2–2

May 24, 2026 · La Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 5–1

September 13, 2025 · La Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–0

January 25, 2025 · La Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

August 19, 2024 · La Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–2

April 1, 2024 · La Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–2