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Friday, Nov 6, 2026 20:00 Pride Park, Derby

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Derby vs Bolton Prediction

For Derby vs Bolton on November 6, 2026 in Championship, England, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are Derby 10%, draw 45% and Bolton 45%. Expected goals are Derby -1.5 and Bolton -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Bolton. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction

Current

Derby10%

Draw45%

Bolton45%

Model adviceDouble chance : draw or BoltonStrongest probability: 45%

Likely Score-1.5–-2.5Expected goals

Goals Market—When returned by feed

Winner SignalBoltonWin or draw

Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

Bolton has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-2.5.
Double chance : draw or Bolton

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal

Form30% / 70%

Attacking potential31% / 69%

Defensive potential58% / 42%

Poisson distribution28% / 72%

Head to head71% / 29%

Goals H2H73% / 27%

Overall signal48.5% / 51.5%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches

Derby

LDLLD

Millwall1–4L

Sheffield Utd1–1D

Stoke City0–1L

QPR1–4L

Wrexham1–1D

30% Form Rating 70%

Bolton

LLDWL

Bristol City2–3L

Middlesbrough1–5L

Southampton0–0D

Wolves3–1W

Stoke City1–2L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings

Mar 16, 2024

Derby1–0

Bolton

Sep 2, 2023

Bolton2–1

Derby

Jan 21, 2023

Derby2–1

Bolton

Dec 27, 2022

Bolton0–0

Derby

Apr 13, 2019

Derby4–0

Bolton

Sep 29, 2018

Bolton1–0

Derby

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Bolton45%

Expected Score-1.5–-2.5Model goals

Goals Signal—Feed market

Double ChanceX2If supported

Prediction analysis

Derby vs Bolton prediction analysis

This Derby vs Bolton prediction page is built for users searching for a clear football prediction, match prediction analysis and betting insight before kick-off in the Championship England context. The home, draw and away probability split currently reads 10%, 45% and 45%, helping visitors understand whether the fixture looks balanced, home-leaning or away-leaning before opening odds, team news or lineup information. The current prediction advice is “Double chance : draw or Bolton”, which gives the page a clear starting point for deeper match analysis.

Use this Derby vs Bolton match prediction together with recent form, injuries, confirmed lineups, fixture timing, venue conditions and available odds. The expected goals fields, winner signal, comparison bars and model insight graph are designed to make the forecast easier to scan, but every football prediction should be treated as helpful betting intelligence rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Key Match Insights

Model Comparison

Team Form

Head to Head

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Derby vs Bolton prediction analysis

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