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Liga Nacional
CD Motagua CD MotaguaHome
WDWWL
Sunday, Nov 1, 2026 Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
CD Marathon CD MarathonAway
DWWDL

Cd Marathon vs Cd Motagua Prediction

For CD Motagua vs CD Marathon on November 1, 2026 in Liga Nacional, Honduras, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are CD Motagua 45%, draw 45% and CD Marathon 10%. Expected goals are CD Motagua -2.5 and CD Marathon -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : CD Motagua or draw. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
CD Motagua45%
Draw45%
CD Marathon10%
Model adviceDouble chance : CD Motagua or drawStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalCD MotaguaWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • CD Motagua has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : CD Motagua or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form60% / 40%
Attacking potential50% / 50%
Defensive potential75% / 25%
Poisson distribution58% / 42%
Head to head38% / 62%
Goals H2H43% / 57%
Overall signal54% / 46%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
CD Motagua
WDWWL
Juticalpa2–0W
LD Alajuelense0–0D
Platense FC2–0W
Atlético Choloma2–1W
Real Espana0–1L
60% Form Rating 40%
CD Marathon
DWWDL
Atletico Independiente2–2D
Alianza2–1W
Olancho2–1W
Lobos Upnfm0–0D
Juticalpa2–3L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
CD Motagua0–0CD Marathon
CD Marathon1–1CD Motagua
CD Marathon1–0CD Motagua
CD Motagua1–1CD Marathon
CD Marathon1–0CD Motagua
CD Motagua3–3CD Marathon

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2CD Motagua45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

CD Motagua vs CD Marathon prediction analysis