Football prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura - 16

Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 21:30 WAT in the Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura - 16). The model gives Boca Juniors 59%, the draw 30% and Defensa Y Justicia 11%, and the pick is Boca Juniors or draw (89%).

Boca JuniorsWDWWW

21:30Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Defensa Y JusticiaWWLWD

Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires

Our prediction

Boca Juniors or draw89% probability · best odds 1.09

59%30%11%

Boca JuniorsDrawDefensa Y Justicia

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 45%
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 89% · 12 70% · X2 41%

Model advice: Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Boca Juniors	Defensa Y Justicia
Results	WDWWW	WWLWD
Goals scored per game	1.8	1.6
Goals conceded per game	0.6	0.6

Boca JuniorsDefensa Y Justicia

57%

43%Form

53%

47%Attack

50%

50%Defence

66%

34%Poisson

62%

38%Head to head

73%

27%Goals

60%

40%Overall

Head-to-head

3Boca Juniors3Draws2Defensa Y Justicia

23 Apr 2026Defensa Y Justicia0 - 4Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
27 Sep 2025Defensa Y Justicia2 - 1Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
16 Mar 2025Boca Juniors4 - 0Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
21 Jul 2024Defensa Y Justicia2 - 2Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
10 Feb 2024Boca Juniors0 - 0Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional
15 Sep 2023Defensa Y Justicia1 - 0Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional

Best odds (1X2)

Boca Juniors1.40Bet365fair 69%

Draw4.86Pinnaclefair 21%

Defensa Y Justicia9.051xBetfair 11%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 7.0%.

Compare all Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Boca Juniors	59%	68.7%	-9.7
Draw	30%	20.6%	+9.4
Defensa Y Justicia	11%	10.7%	+0.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Liga Profesional Argentina table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Boca Juniors	16	+13	30	WWWDW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	-3	19	DWLWW
2	Boca Juniors	15	+9	30	WWWDW
4	Defensa Y Justicia	15	+7	28	DWLWW

Full Liga Profesional Argentina table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

Saturday 7 November, 21:30 WAT is the date for this Liga Profesional Argentina clausura – 16 meeting at Alberto J. Armando. Boca Juniors are 2nd with 30 points from 15 games (goal difference +9); Defensa Y Justicia are 4th with 28 points from 15 (+7). Only 2 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia form

Boca Juniors are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (WDWWW). Defensa Y Justicia have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (WWLWD) across their last 5. Over those games Boca Juniors averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, Defensa Y Justicia 1.6 and 0.6.

What the numbers say

Boca Juniors are the model’s favourites at 59%, 48 points clear of Defensa Y Justicia, while the draw is rated 30%. Expected goals come out at 1.2 for Boca Juniors and 1.1 for Defensa Y Justicia, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 40% and both teams to score (GG) 47%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Boca Juniors in form (57-43).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Boca Juniors won 3, Defensa Y Justicia won 2 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 23 Apr 2026, finished Defensa Y Justicia 0-4 Boca Juniors.

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 1.40 for Boca Juniors (Bet365), 4.86 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 9.05 for Defensa Y Justicia (1xBet). With the margin removed the market reads 69% / 21% / 11%. Our model is 9.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.82 and under at 2.01.

Our Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction

Our pick for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia is Boca Juniors or draw, rated 89%, best price 1.09. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?: The model gives Boca Juniors 59%, the draw 30% and Defensa Y Justicia 11%. Our tip is Boca Juniors or draw.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.2 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?: GG is rated 47% by the model and the best GG price is 2.11.
When and where is Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?: Saturday 7 November, 21:30 WAT, Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura – 16), Alberto J. Armando.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.