Football prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura - 16

Independ Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M Prediction

Gimnasia M. host Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura - 16) on Saturday 7 November, 19:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 37% / 36% / 27% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Gimnasia M. or draw (73%).

Gimnasia M.LWLLD

19:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Independ. RivadaviaDLDLW

Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza

Our prediction

Gimnasia M. or draw73% probability · best odds 1.53

37%36%27%

Gimnasia M.DrawIndepend. Rivadavia

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 49%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 73% · 12 64% · X2 63%

Model advice: Double chance : Gimnasia M. or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Gimnasia M.	Independ. Rivadavia
Results	LWLLD	DLDLW
Goals scored per game	0.6	1.2
Goals conceded per game	1.4	2.0

Gimnasia M.Independ. Rivadavia

44%

56%Form

33%

67%Attack

59%

41%Defence

62%

38%Poisson

60%

40%Head to head

42%

58%Goals

50%

50%Overall

Head-to-head

3Gimnasia M.0Draws4Independ. Rivadavia

26 Apr 2026Independ. Rivadavia5 - 1Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina
22 Oct 2022Gimnasia M.1 - 0Independ. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
3 Jul 2022Gimnasia M.2 - 0Independ. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
24 Feb 2022Independ. Rivadavia2 - 0Gimnasia M.Copa Argentina
30 Sep 2018Gimnasia M.1 - 0Independ. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
11 Aug 2015Independ. Rivadavia4 - 2Gimnasia M.Primera Nacional

Best odds (1X2)

Gimnasia M.3.10Bet365fair 31%

Draw3.13BetVictorfair 31%

Independ. Rivadavia2.52Pinnaclefair 38%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 6.8%.

Compare all Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Gimnasia M.	37%	31.0%	+6.0
Draw	36%	30.8%	+5.2
Independ. Rivadavia	27%	38.2%	-11.2

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Liga Profesional Argentina table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Gimnasia M.	16	-8	19	DLLWL
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	+14	34	WLDLD
7	Gimnasia M.	15	+1	21	DLLWL
7	Independ. Rivadavia	15	-3	22	WLDLD

Full Liga Profesional Argentina table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This Liga Profesional Argentina clausura – 16 fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 19:00 WAT at Víctor Legrotaglie. Gimnasia M. are 7th with 21 points from 15 games (goal difference +1); Independ. Rivadavia are 7th with 22 points from 15 (-3). Only 1 point separates them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Gimnasia M. and Independ. Rivadavia form

Form is a concern for Gimnasia M., who have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (LWLLD). Independ. Rivadavia have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (DLDLW) across their last 5. Over those games Gimnasia M. averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 and 2.0.

What the numbers say

Gimnasia M. are the model’s favourites at 37%, 10 points clear of Independ. Rivadavia, while the draw is rated 36%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for Gimnasia M. and 1.3 for Independ. Rivadavia, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 48% and both teams to score (GG) 53%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Independ. Rivadavia in attack (67-33), Gimnasia M. in defence (59-41), Independ. Rivadavia in form (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Gimnasia M. won 3, Independ. Rivadavia won 4 and 0 ended level, an average of 3.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Independ. Rivadavia 5-1 Gimnasia M..

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 3.10 for Gimnasia M. (Bet365), 3.13 for the draw (BetVictor) and 2.52 for Independ. Rivadavia (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 31% / 31% / 38%. Our model is 6.0 points higher than the bookmakers on Gimnasia M. – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.32 and under at 1.62.

Our Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction

The selection we are backing in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia: Gimnasia M. or draw (73% confidence, best price 1.53). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?: The model gives Gimnasia M. 37%, the draw 36% and Independ. Rivadavia 27%. Our tip is Gimnasia M. or draw.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?: GG is rated 53% by the model and the best GG price is 1.95.
When and where is Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?: Saturday 7 November, 19:00 WAT, Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura – 16), Víctor Legrotaglie.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.