Football prediction

Primera División predictions Clausura - 14

Juventud vs Wanderers Prediction

Tuesday 17 November, 00:00 WAT: Wanderers welcome Juventud in the Primera División (clausura - 14). Home win 29%, draw 35%, away win 36% according to our model, and the pick is Juventud to win (36%).

WanderersWLLLD

00:00Tue 17 Nov 2026 · WAT

JuventudDWLDL

Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo

Our prediction

Juventud to win36% probability · best odds 3.21

29%35%36%

WanderersDrawJuventud

Most likely score: 0 - 0
Goals: Under 3.5 goals
Both teams to score: 53%
Expected goals: 0.8 – 1.0
Double chance: 1X 64% · 12 65% · X2 71%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Juventud and -3.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Wanderers	Juventud
Results	WLLLD	DWLDL
Goals scored per game	0.8	0.4
Goals conceded per game	1.6	0.8

WanderersJuventud

44%

56%Form

67%

33%Attack

33%

67%Defence

57%

43%Poisson

20%

80%Head to head

40%

60%Goals

44%

57%Overall

Head-to-head

3Wanderers0Draws5Juventud

31 May 2026Juventud2 - 5WanderersPrimera División
2 May 2026Juventud2 - 1WanderersPrimera División
11 Jan 2026Juventud3 - 0WanderersCopa De La Liga Auf
22 Aug 2025Wanderers0 - 1JuventudPrimera División - Clausura
23 Feb 2025Juventud1 - 0WanderersPrimera División - Apertura
25 Oct 2019Wanderers3 - 0JuventudPrimera División - Clausura

Best odds (1X2)

Wanderers2.34Dafabetfair 41%

Draw3.35Dafabetfair 28%

Juventud3.21Pinnaclefair 31%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 10.0%.

Compare all Wanderers vs Juventud odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Wanderers	29%	41.2%	-12.2
Draw	35%	28.3%	+6.7
Juventud	36%	30.5%	+5.5

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera División table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Wanderers	35	-2	51	DLLLW
10	Juventud	35	-6	41	LDLWD
7	Juventud	72	0	102	LDLWD
14	Wanderers	72	-24	82	DLLLW
1	Wanderers	7	+8	15	WWWDW
5	Juventud	7	-3	8	DWLDL
10	Wanderers	15	-5	20	WLWLL
14	Juventud	15	-5	15	WWDDW
9	Juventud	13	+2	18	LDLWD
10	Wanderers	13	-5	16	DLLLW

Full Primera División table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Wanderers vs Juventud preview, prediction and stats – 17 Nov 2026 WAT

Tuesday 17 November, 00:00 WAT is the date for this Primera División clausura – 14 meeting at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (goal difference -5); Juventud are 9th with 18 points from 13 (+2). Only 2 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Wanderers and Juventud form

Wanderers are struggling for results: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 (WLLLD). Over their last 5 matches Juventud have managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (DWLDL). Over those games Wanderers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, Juventud 0.4 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Wanderers 29%, Juventud 36%, with 35% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 0.8 for Wanderers and 1.0 for Juventud, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-0 (17%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 27% and both teams to score (GG) 35%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Wanderers in attack (67-33), Juventud in defence (67-33), Juventud in form (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Wanderers won 3, Juventud won 5 and 0 ended level, an average of 3.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 6 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Juventud 2-5 Wanderers.

Wanderers vs Juventud odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.34 for Wanderers (Dafabet), 3.35 for the draw (Dafabet) and 3.21 for Juventud (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 41% / 28% / 31%. Our model is 6.7 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and under at 1.80.

Our Wanderers vs Juventud prediction

Our pick for Wanderers vs Juventud is Juventud to win, rated 36%, best price 3.21. For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Wanderers vs Juventud?: The model gives Wanderers 29%, the draw 35% and Juventud 36%. Our tip is Juventud to win.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Juventud?: 0-0 is the most likely scoreline (17%), from expected goals of 0.8 and 1.0.
Will both teams score in Wanderers vs Juventud?: GG is rated 35% by the model and the best GG price is 1.80.
When and where is Wanderers vs Juventud?: Tuesday 17 November, 00:00 WAT, Primera División (clausura – 14), Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.

Compare every market on the Wanderers vs Juventud odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

May 31, 2026 · Primera División45% / 45% / 10% · 2–5

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