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Primera División
Wanderers WanderersHome
LLDWW
Sunday, Oct 25, 2026 Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo
Progreso ProgresoAway
WDLWW

Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction

Wanderers vs Progreso prediction for October 25, 2026 in Primera División, Uruguay reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are Wanderers 10%, draw 45% and Progreso 45%. Expected goals are Wanderers -2.5 and Progreso -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Progreso. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Wanderers10%
Draw45%
Progreso45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or ProgresoStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalProgresoWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Progreso has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Progreso

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form41% / 59%
Attacking potential40% / 60%
Defensive potential43% / 57%
Poisson distribution64% / 36%
Head to head38% / 62%
Goals H2H44% / 56%
Overall signal45% / 55%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Wanderers
LLDWW
Racing Montevideo0–3L
Boston River1–3L
Cerrito2–2D
Cerro2–0W
Albion FC2–1W
41% Form Rating 59%
Progreso
WDLWW
Juventud2–0W
Penarol1–1D
Liverpool Montevideo2–3L
Racing Montevideo2–1W
Boston River2–1W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Wanderers2–0Progreso
Progreso2–1Wanderers
Progreso2–0Wanderers
Wanderers1–1Progreso
Progreso0–0Wanderers
Wanderers4–2Progreso

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Progreso45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Wanderers vs Progreso prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

July 11, 2026 · Primera División45% / 45% / 10% · 2–0