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Premier League
Newcastle NewcastleHome
LWLLW
Saturday, Nov 21, 2026 St. James' Park, Newcastle
Arsenal ArsenalAway
DWDWW

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction for November 21, 2026 in Premier League, England reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are Newcastle 10%, draw 45% and Arsenal 45%. Expected goals are Newcastle -1.5 and Arsenal -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Newcastle10%
Draw45%
Arsenal45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or ArsenalStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-1.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalArsenalWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Arsenal has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Arsenal

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form33% / 67%
Attacking potential50% / 50%
Defensive potential29% / 71%
Poisson distribution32% / 68%
Head to head20% / 80%
Goals H2H42% / 58%
Overall signal34.3% / 65.7%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Newcastle
LWLLW
Everton1–3L
Crystal Palace2–0W
Aston Villa0–1L
Coventry1–4L
Hull City2–1W
33% Form Rating 67%
Arsenal
DWDWW
Fleetwood Town1–1D
Everton2–0W
Bayern München2–2D
Nottingham Forest1–0W
Lille3–0W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Arsenal1–0Newcastle
Newcastle1–2Arsenal
Arsenal3–2Newcastle
Arsenal1–0Newcastle
Newcastle2–0Arsenal
Arsenal0–2Newcastle

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Arsenal45%
Expected Score-1.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction analysis