Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Notts County vs Altrincham Prediction

Altrincham host Notts County in the FA Cup (1/128-finals) on Saturday 7 November, 18:30 WAT. Our model rates the match 13% / 34% / 53% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Notts County to win (53%).

AltrinchamDW

18:30Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Notts County

Moss Lane, Altrincham

This fixture has been played. The final score and the next meeting appear with the next daily update.

Our prediction

Notts County to win53% probability · best odds 1.76

13%34%53%

AltrinchamDrawNotts County

Most likely score: 1 - 0
Goals: Under 3.5 goals
Both teams to score: 56%
Expected goals: 1.5 – 0.5
Double chance: 1X 47% · 12 66% · X2 87%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Notts County and -3.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Altrincham	Notts County
Results	DW
Goals scored per game	3.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	1.0	0.0

AltrinchamNotts County

100%

0%Form

100%

0%Attack

100%Defence

0%Poisson

20%

80%Head to head

23%

77%Goals

22%

79%Overall

Head-to-head

1Altrincham1Draws5Notts County

28 Mar 2023Altrincham0 - 2Notts CountyNational League
1 Oct 2022Notts County3 - 1AltrinchamNational League
7 May 2022Notts County3 - 0AltrinchamNational League
18 Dec 2021Notts County2 - 1AltrinchamFA Trophy
25 Sep 2021Altrincham1 - 0Notts CountyNational League
1 May 2021Altrincham1 - 1Notts CountyNational League

Best odds (1X2)

Altrincham4.50Bet365fair 22%

Draw4.18Pinnaclefair 24%

Notts County1.76Dafabetfair 54%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.9%.

Compare all Altrincham vs Notts County odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Altrincham	13%	22.0%	-9.0
Draw	34%	23.8%	+10.2
Notts County	53%	54.2%	-1.2

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Altrincham vs Notts County prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 18:30 WAT at Moss Lane.

What the numbers say

Notts County are the model’s favourites at 53%, 40 points clear of Altrincham, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.5 for Altrincham and 0.5 for Notts County, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 32% and both teams to score (GG) 31%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Altrincham in attack (100-0), Notts County in defence (100-0), Altrincham in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Altrincham won 1, Notts County won 5 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.7 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 28 Mar 2023, finished Altrincham 0-2 Notts County.

Altrincham vs Notts County odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 4.50 for Altrincham (Bet365), 4.18 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 1.76 for Notts County (Dafabet). With the margin removed the market reads 22% / 24% / 54%. Our model is 10.2 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.69 and under at 2.20.

Our Altrincham vs Notts County prediction

The selection we are backing in Altrincham vs Notts County: Notts County to win (53% confidence, best price 1.76). For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 1-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?: The model gives Altrincham 13%, the draw 34% and Notts County 53%. Our tip is Notts County to win.
What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs Notts County?: 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (20%), from expected goals of 1.5 and 0.5.
Will both teams score in Altrincham vs Notts County?: GG is rated 31% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is Altrincham vs Notts County?: Saturday 7 November, 18:30 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Moss Lane.

Compare every market on the Altrincham vs Notts County odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.