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Primera A
Once Caldas Once CaldasHome
DDWWD
Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Alianza Valledupar Alianza ValleduparAway
WWDLW

Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction

The Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar football prediction for October 28, 2026 in Primera A, Colombia uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Once Caldas 35%, draw 35% and Alianza Valledupar 30%. Expected goals are Once Caldas -2.5 and Alianza Valledupar -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : Once Caldas or draw. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Once Caldas35%
Draw35%
Alianza Valledupar30%
Model adviceDouble chance : Once Caldas or drawStrongest probability: 35%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalOnce CaldasWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Once Caldas has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 35%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : Once Caldas or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form50% / 50%
Attacking potential33% / 67%
Defensive potential69% / 31%
Poisson distribution70% / 30%
Head to head38% / 62%
Goals H2H43% / 57%
Overall signal50.5% / 49.5%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Once Caldas
DDWWD
Deportivo Pereira1–1D
Millonarios1–1D
Independiente Medellin2–0W
Llaneros1–0W
Internacional de Bogota1–1D
50% Form Rating 50%
Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
Internacional de Bogota1–0W
Deportivo Pasto1–0W
Águilas Doradas2–2D
Deportivo Cali1–3L
Jaguares2–1W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Once Caldas1–0Alianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar1–1Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar0–0Once Caldas
Once Caldas1–2Alianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar1–0Once Caldas
Once Caldas1–0Alianza Valledupar

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Once Caldas35%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 10, 2026 · Copa Colombia35% / 35% / 30% · 1–0

February 8, 2026 · Primera A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

August 15, 2025 · Primera A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–0

March 2, 2025 · Primera A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–2