San Lorenzo vs Platense Prediction

This Liga Profesional Argentina clausura – 16 fixture is played on Friday 6 November, 23:15 WAT at Estadio Pedro Bidegain. San Lorenzo are 9th with 19 points from 15 games (goal difference -5); Platense are 11th with 17 points from 15 (-4). Only 2 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

San Lorenzo and Platense form

Over their last 5 matches San Lorenzo have managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (LWWDD). Platense have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (DDLWW) across their last 5. Over those games San Lorenzo averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Platense 1.4 and 1.0.

What the numbers say

San Lorenzo are the model’s favourites at 40%, 18 points clear of Platense, while the draw is rated 38%. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for San Lorenzo and 1.3 for Platense, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 40% and both teams to score (GG) 46%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Platense in attack (58-42), Platense in defence (55-45).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings San Lorenzo won 3, Platense won 2 and 3 ended level, an average of 1.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Platense 0-1 San Lorenzo.

San Lorenzo vs Platense odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.72 for San Lorenzo (Pinnacle), 2.92 for the draw (1xBet) and 3.04 for Platense (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 36% / 33% / 31%. Our model is 5.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.88 and under at 1.45.

Our San Lorenzo vs Platense prediction

The selection we are backing in San Lorenzo vs Platense: San Lorenzo or draw (78% confidence, best price 1.42). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?

The model gives San Lorenzo 40%, the draw 38% and Platense 22%. Our tip is San Lorenzo or draw.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 1.3.

Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Platense?

GG is rated 46% by the model and the best GG price is 2.25.

When and where is San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Friday 6 November, 23:15 WAT, Liga Profesional Argentina (clausura – 16), Estadio Pedro Bidegain.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.