Football prediction

Championship Matchday 15

Southampton vs Preston Prediction

Preston host Southampton in the Championship (matchday 15) on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 12% / 34% / 54% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Southampton or draw (88%).

PrestonLLDLL

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

SouthamptonWDWWD

Deepdale Stadium, Preston

Our prediction

Southampton or draw88% probability · best odds 1.20

12%34%54%

PrestonDrawSouthampton

Most likely score: 0 - 2
Both teams to score: 59%
Expected goals: 0.8 – 2.3
Double chance: 1X 46% · 12 66% · X2 88%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Preston	Southampton
Results	LLDLL	WDWWD
Goals scored per game	0.8	1.8
Goals conceded per game	2.8	0.8

PrestonSouthampton

92%Form

31%

69%Attack

22%

78%Defence

30%

70%Poisson

29%

71%Head to head

38%

63%Goals

26%

74%Overall

Head-to-head

1Preston1Draws3Southampton

2 May 2026Preston1 - 3SouthamptonChampionship
1 Nov 2025Southampton0 - 2PrestonChampionship
16 Apr 2024Southampton3 - 0PrestonChampionship
25 Oct 2023Preston2 - 2SouthamptonChampionship
21 Sep 2011Southampton2 - 1PrestonLeague Cup

Best odds (1X2)

Preston5.00Bet365fair 20%

Draw4.28Pinnaclefair 23%

Southampton1.67William Hillfair 57%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 6.9%.

Compare all Preston vs Southampton odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Preston	12%	20.0%	-8.0
Draw	34%	23.0%	+11.0
Southampton	54%	57.1%	-3.1

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Championship table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Southampton	14	+15	24	DWWDW
24	Preston	14	-18	5	LLDLL

Full Championship table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Preston vs Southampton: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this Championship matchday 15 meeting at Deepdale Stadium. Preston are 24th with 5 points from 14 games (goal difference -18); Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 14 (+15). The 19-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Preston and Southampton form

Preston are struggling for results: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 (LLDLL). Over their last 5 matches Southampton have managed 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (WDWWD). Over those games Preston averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match, Southampton 1.8 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

Southampton are the model’s favourites at 54%, 42 points clear of Preston, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 0.8 for Preston and 2.3 for Southampton, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-2 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 59% and both teams to score (GG) 49%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Southampton in attack (69-31), Southampton in defence (78-22), Southampton in form (92-8).

Head-to-head record

In the last 5 meetings Preston won 1, Southampton won 3 and 1 ended level, an average of 3.2 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Preston 1-3 Southampton.

Preston vs Southampton odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 5.00 for Preston (Bet365), 4.28 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 1.67 for Southampton (William Hill). With the margin removed the market reads 20% / 23% / 57%. Our model is 11.0 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.62 and under at 2.45.

Our Preston vs Southampton prediction

Our pick for Preston vs Southampton is Southampton or draw, rated 88%, best price 1.20. Correct score suggestion: 0-2. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?: The model gives Preston 12%, the draw 34% and Southampton 54%. Our tip is Southampton or draw.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Southampton?: 0-2 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 0.8 and 2.3.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Southampton?: GG is rated 49% by the model and the best GG price is 1.62.
When and where is Preston vs Southampton?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Championship (matchday 15), Deepdale Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.