Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction

Sunday 15 November, 19:00 WAT is the date for this Primera División clausura – 17 meeting at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Comerciantes Unidos are 13th with 16 points from 16 games (goal difference -1); Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 (+6). The 10-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Boys form

Over their last 5 matches Comerciantes Unidos have managed 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (LWDDD). Sport Boys have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (LWWDD) across their last 5. Over those games Comerciantes Unidos averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, Sport Boys 1.4 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Comerciantes Unidos 34%, Sport Boys 32%, with 34% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.4 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.5 for Sport Boys, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 55% and both teams to score (GG) 58%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Sport Boys in defence (57-43), Sport Boys in form (57-43).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Comerciantes Unidos won 2, Sport Boys won 2 and 3 ended level, an average of 1.9 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Sport Boys 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.91 for Comerciantes Unidos (William Hill), 3.90 for the draw (Betano) and 4.10 for Sport Boys (Betano). With the margin removed the market reads 50% / 26% / 24%. Our model is 8.0 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.80 and under at 2.02.

Our Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys prediction

Our pick for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys is Sport Boys or draw, rated 66%, best price 1.95. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?

The model gives Comerciantes Unidos 34%, the draw 34% and Sport Boys 32%. Our tip is Sport Boys or draw.

What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.4 and 1.5.

Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?

GG is rated 58% by the model and the best GG price is 1.73.

When and where is Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?

Sunday 15 November, 19:00 WAT, Primera División (clausura – 17), Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Compare every market on the Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.