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Serie B
Ceara CearaHome
LWLLW
Saturday, Sep 5, 2026 Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza
Sport Recife Sport RecifeAway
LWLWW

Ceara vs Sport Recife Prediction

Double chance : draw or Sport Recife Review the Ceara vs Sport Recife prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Serie B.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Ceara10%
Draw45%
Sport Recife45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or Sport RecifeStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals MarketWhen returned by feed
Winner SignalSport RecifeWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Sport Recife has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Sport Recife

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form47% / 53%
Attacking potential53% / 47%
Defensive potential33% / 67%
Poisson distribution39% / 61%
Head to head38% / 62%
Goals H2H44% / 56%
Overall signal42.3% / 57.7%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Ceara
LWLLW
Vila Nova0–2L
Londrina2–1W
Nautico Recife0–1L
Cuiaba1–3L
Ponte Preta2–0W
47% Form Rating 53%
Sport Recife
LWLWW
Novorizontino1–2L
America Mineiro3–0W
Avai1–2L
Londrina2–1W
Vila Nova1–0W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Sport Recife2–0Ceara
Sport Recife1–1Ceara
Sport Recife0–0Ceara
Ceara2–0Sport Recife
Sport Recife2–1Ceara
Ceara0–0Sport Recife

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Sport Recife45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals SignalFeed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Ceara vs Sport Recife prediction analysis