Football prediction

Primera Nacional predictions Round of 16

Temperley vs Ciudad De Bolivar Prediction

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar kicks off on Saturday 14 November, 20:00 WAT in the Primera Nacional (round of 16). The model gives Temperley 48%, the draw 36% and Ciudad de Bolívar 16%, and the pick is Temperley or draw (84%).

TemperleyWWDLD

20:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

Ciudad de BolívarWWWLL

Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera

Our prediction

Temperley or draw84% probability · best odds 1.20

48%36%16%

TemperleyDrawCiudad de Bolívar

Most likely score: 1 - 0
Both teams to score: 40%
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.0
Double chance: 1X 84% · 12 64% · X2 52%

Model advice: Double chance : Temperley or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Temperley	Ciudad de Bolívar
Results	WWDLD	WWWLL
Goals scored per game	1.4	0.8
Goals conceded per game	1.2	1.0

TemperleyCiudad de Bolívar

47%

53%Form

64%

36%Attack

45%

55%Defence

54%

46%Poisson

0%Head to head

0%Goals

53%

48%Overall

Best odds (1X2)

Temperley1.87Pinnaclefair 50%

Draw3.15Dafabetfair 30%

Ciudad de Bolívar4.82Pinnaclefair 20%

Compared across 8 bookmakers. Market margin 9.3%.

Compare all Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Temperley	48%	50.0%	-2.0
Draw	36%	30.0%	+6.0
Ciudad de Bolívar	16%	20.0%	-4.0

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera Nacional table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	-3	51	LLWWW
3	Temperley	36	+12	61	DLDWW

Full Primera Nacional table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar preview, prediction and stats – 14 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 14 November, 20:00 WAT is the date for this Primera Nacional round of 16 meeting at Estadio Alfredo Beranger. Temperley are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (goal difference +12); Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th with 51 points from 36 (-3). The 10-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Temperley and Ciudad de Bolívar form

Temperley have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (WWDLD) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Ciudad de Bolívar have managed 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats (WWWLL). Over those games Temperley averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Ciudad de Bolívar 0.8 and 1.0.

What the numbers say

Temperley are the model’s favourites at 48%, 32 points clear of Ciudad de Bolívar, while the draw is rated 36%. Expected goals come out at 1.2 for Temperley and 1.0 for Ciudad de Bolívar, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 38% and both teams to score (GG) 44%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Temperley in attack (64-36), Ciudad de Bolívar in defence (55-45).

Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds

Across 8 bookmakers the best prices are 1.87 for Temperley (Pinnacle), 3.15 for the draw (Dafabet) and 4.82 for Ciudad de Bolívar (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 50% / 30% / 20%. Our model is 6.0 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.73 and under at 1.47.

Our Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction

Our pick for Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar is Temperley or draw, rated 84%, best price 1.20. Correct score suggestion: 1-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: The model gives Temperley 48%, the draw 36% and Ciudad de Bolívar 16%. Our tip is Temperley or draw.
What is the predicted score for Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.2 and 1.0.
Will both teams score in Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: GG is rated 44% by the model and the best GG price is 2.50.
When and where is Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: Saturday 14 November, 20:00 WAT, Primera Nacional (round of 16), Estadio Alfredo Beranger.

Compare every market on the Temperley vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.