Football prediction

Primera Nacional predictions Round of 16

Ca Estudiantes vs Atlanta Prediction

Saturday 14 November, 19:00 WAT: Atlanta welcome CA Estudiantes in the Primera Nacional (round of 16). Home win 45%, draw 37%, away win 18% according to our model, and the pick is Atlanta or draw (82%).

AtlantaWWLWD

19:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

CA EstudiantesLWLDL

Our prediction

Atlanta or draw82% probability · best odds 1.23

45%37%18%

AtlantaDrawCA Estudiantes

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 40%
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.2
Double chance: 1X 82% · 12 63% · X2 55%

Model advice: Double chance : Atlanta or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Atlanta	CA Estudiantes
Results	WWLWD	LWLDL
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.2
Goals conceded per game	1.2	1.8

AtlantaCA Estudiantes

71%

29%Form

54%

46%Attack

60%

40%Defence

68%

32%Poisson

60%

40%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

61%

40%Overall

Head-to-head

3Atlanta1Draws3CA Estudiantes

19 Jun 2023Atlanta3 - 2CA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional
11 Feb 2023CA Estudiantes2 - 0AtlantaPrimera Nacional
3 Sep 2022Atlanta1 - 0CA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional
30 Oct 2021Atlanta1 - 0CA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional
5 Jul 2021CA Estudiantes2 - 1AtlantaPrimera Nacional
24 Jan 2021CA Estudiantes1 - 0AtlantaPrimera Nacional

Best odds (1X2)

Atlanta2.10William Hillfair 46%

Draw2.95Pinnaclefair 32%

CA Estudiantes4.25Betanofair 23%

Compared across 8 bookmakers. Market margin 9.1%.

Compare all Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Atlanta	45%	45.6%	-0.6
Draw	37%	31.9%	+5.1
CA Estudiantes	18%	22.5%	-4.5

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera Nacional table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	CA Estudiantes	36	0	49	LDLWL
2	Atlanta	36	+8	62	DWLWW

Full Primera Nacional table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes prediction and preview (14 Nov 2026 WAT)

Saturday 14 November, 19:00 WAT is the date for this Primera Nacional round of 16 meeting. Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (goal difference +8); CA Estudiantes are 8th with 49 points from 36 (0). The 13-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Atlanta and CA Estudiantes form

Atlanta have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (WWLWD) across their last 5. Form is a concern for CA Estudiantes, who have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (LWLDL). Over those games Atlanta averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, CA Estudiantes 1.2 and 1.8.

What the numbers say

Atlanta are the model’s favourites at 45%, 27 points clear of CA Estudiantes, while the draw is rated 37%. Expected goals come out at 1.6 for Atlanta and 1.2 for CA Estudiantes, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 53% and both teams to score (GG) 56%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Atlanta in defence (60-40), Atlanta in form (71-29).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Atlanta won 3, CA Estudiantes won 3 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.7 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 19 Jun 2023, finished Atlanta 3-2 CA Estudiantes.

Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes odds

Across 8 bookmakers the best prices are 2.10 for Atlanta (William Hill), 2.95 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.25 for CA Estudiantes (Betano). With the margin removed the market reads 46% / 32% / 23%. Our model is 5.1 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.88 and under at 1.44.

Our Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes prediction

Our pick for Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes is Atlanta or draw, rated 82%, best price 1.23. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes?: The model gives Atlanta 45%, the draw 37% and CA Estudiantes 18%. Our tip is Atlanta or draw.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.6 and 1.2.
Will both teams score in Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes?: GG is rated 56% by the model and the best GG price is 2.50.
When and where is Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes?: Saturday 14 November, 19:00 WAT, Primera Nacional (round of 16).

Compare every market on the Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.