Football prediction

Primera Nacional predictions Round of 16

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown Prediction

Sunday 15 November, 00:00 WAT: Gimnasia Jujuy welcome Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional (round of 16). Home win 48%, draw 35%, away win 17% according to our model, and the pick is Gimnasia Jujuy or draw (83%).

Gimnasia JujuyLDWLL

00:00Sun 15 Nov 2026 · WAT

Almirante BrownLDDWL

Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy

Our prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy or draw83% probability · best odds 1.22

48%35%17%

Gimnasia JujuyDrawAlmirante Brown

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 43%
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.8
Double chance: 1X 83% · 12 65% · X2 52%

Model advice: Double chance : Gimnasia Jujuy or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Gimnasia Jujuy	Almirante Brown
Results	LDWLL	LDDWL
Goals scored per game	1.2	1.4
Goals conceded per game	2.2	1.6

Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brown

44%

56%Form

46%

54%Attack

42%

58%Defence

63%

37%Poisson

93%

7%Head to head

91%

9%Goals

63%

37%Overall

Head-to-head

6Gimnasia Jujuy1Draws1Almirante Brown

24 Aug 2025Almirante Brown0 - 0Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional
20 Apr 2025Gimnasia Jujuy1 - 0Almirante BrownPrimera Nacional
29 May 2022Gimnasia Jujuy3 - 0Almirante BrownPrimera Nacional
24 Mar 2014Almirante Brown1 - 3Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional
21 Sep 2013Gimnasia Jujuy3 - 0Almirante BrownPrimera Nacional
24 Mar 2013Almirante Brown0 - 1Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional

Best odds (1X2)

Gimnasia Jujuy1.91William Hillfair 50%

Draw3.30Pinnaclefair 29%

Almirante Brown4.54Pinnaclefair 21%

Compared across 8 bookmakers. Market margin 9.1%.

Compare all Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Gimnasia Jujuy	48%	49.8%	-1.8
Draw	35%	29.0%	+6.0
Almirante Brown	17%	21.2%	-4.2

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera Nacional table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Almirante Brown	36	+4	51	LWDDL
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	+4	58	LLWDL

Full Primera Nacional table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown preview, prediction and stats – 15 Nov 2026 WAT

This Primera Nacional round of 16 fixture is played on Sunday 15 November, 00:00 WAT at Estadio 23 de Agosto. Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th with 58 points from 36 games (goal difference +4); Almirante Brown are 6th with 51 points from 36 (+4).

Gimnasia Jujuy and Almirante Brown form

Gimnasia Jujuy are struggling for results: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 (LDWLL). Over their last 5 matches Almirante Brown have managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (LDDWL). Over those games Gimnasia Jujuy averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, Almirante Brown 1.4 and 1.6.

What the numbers say

Gimnasia Jujuy are the model’s favourites at 48%, 31 points clear of Almirante Brown, while the draw is rated 35%. Expected goals come out at 1.4 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.8 for Almirante Brown, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 62% and both teams to score (GG) 63%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Almirante Brown in defence (58-42), Almirante Brown in form (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Gimnasia Jujuy won 6, Almirante Brown won 1 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 24 Aug 2025, finished Almirante Brown 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown odds

Across 8 bookmakers the best prices are 1.91 for Gimnasia Jujuy (William Hill), 3.30 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.54 for Almirante Brown (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 50% / 29% / 21%. Our model is 6.0 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.50 and under at 1.53.

Our Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown prediction

The selection we are backing in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown: Gimnasia Jujuy or draw (83% confidence, best price 1.22). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown?: The model gives Gimnasia Jujuy 48%, the draw 35% and Almirante Brown 17%. Our tip is Gimnasia Jujuy or draw.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (10%), from expected goals of 1.4 and 1.8.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown?: GG is rated 63% by the model and the best GG price is 2.20.
When and where is Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown?: Sunday 15 November, 00:00 WAT, Primera Nacional (round of 16), Estadio 23 de Agosto.

Compare every market on the Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almirante Brown odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.