Football prediction

League One Matchday 15

Afc Wimbledon vs Blackpool Prediction

AFC Wimbledon host Blackpool in the League One (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 35% / 30% / 35% (home / draw / away), and the pick is AFC Wimbledon or draw (65%).

AFC WimbledonLLLDL

16:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

BlackpoolLLWLD

The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

Our prediction

AFC Wimbledon or draw65% probability · best odds 1.55

35%30%35%

AFC WimbledonDrawBlackpool

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 59%
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.7
Double chance: 1X 65% · 12 70% · X2 65%

Model advice: Double chance : AFC Wimbledon or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	AFC Wimbledon	Blackpool
Results	LLLDL	LLWLD
Goals scored per game	0.6	0.8
Goals conceded per game	2.6	1.6

AFC WimbledonBlackpool

20%

80%Form

43%

57%Attack

38%

62%Defence

55%

45%Poisson

85%

15%Head to head

80%

20%Goals

54%

47%Overall

Head-to-head

3AFC Wimbledon3Draws2Blackpool

11 Mar 2026AFC Wimbledon4 - 1BlackpoolLeague One
4 Oct 2025Blackpool0 - 2AFC WimbledonLeague One
6 Mar 2021Blackpool1 - 1AFC WimbledonLeague One
27 Oct 2020AFC Wimbledon1 - 0BlackpoolLeague One
22 Feb 2020AFC Wimbledon0 - 0BlackpoolLeague One
16 Nov 2019Blackpool2 - 0AFC WimbledonLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

AFC Wimbledon2.76Pinnaclefair 35%

Draw3.50Bet365fair 27%

Blackpool2.50William Hillfair 38%

Compared across 9 bookmakers. Market margin 8.8%.

Compare all AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
AFC Wimbledon	35%	35.2%	-0.2
Draw	30%	27.1%	+2.9
Blackpool	35%	37.7%	-2.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: our prediction for 14 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this League One matchday 15 meeting at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.

AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool form

AFC Wimbledon are struggling for results: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 (LLLDL). Form is a concern for Blackpool, who have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (LLWLD). Over those games AFC Wimbledon averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match, Blackpool 0.8 and 1.6.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: AFC Wimbledon 35%, Blackpool 35%, with 30% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.1 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.7 for Blackpool, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 53% and both teams to score (GG) 54%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Blackpool in attack (57-43), Blackpool in defence (62-38), Blackpool in form (80-20).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 3, Blackpool won 2 and 3 ended level, an average of 1.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 1 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 11 Mar 2026, finished AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Blackpool.

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool odds

Across 9 bookmakers the best prices are 2.76 for AFC Wimbledon (Pinnacle), 3.50 for the draw (Bet365) and 2.50 for Blackpool (William Hill). With the margin removed the market reads 35% / 27% / 38%. Model and market agree closely, so there is no obvious price edge on the match result. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.73 and under at 2.11.

Our AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction

Our pick for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool is AFC Wimbledon or draw, rated 65%, best price 1.55. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?: The model gives AFC Wimbledon 35%, the draw 30% and Blackpool 35%. Our tip is AFC Wimbledon or draw.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (11%), from expected goals of 1.1 and 1.7.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?: GG is rated 54% by the model and the best GG price is 1.62.
When and where is AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?: Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, League One (matchday 15), The Cherry Red Records Stadium.

Compare every market on the AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.