Football prediction

League One Matchday 15

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town Prediction

Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT: Stevenage welcome Mansfield Town in the League One (matchday 15). Home win 33%, draw 33%, away win 33% according to our model, and the pick is Stevenage to win (33%).

StevenageWLWLD

16:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

Mansfield TownDWWLD

Lamex Stadium, Stevenage

Our prediction

Stevenage to win33% probability · best odds 2.56

33%33%33%

StevenageDrawMansfield Town

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 53%
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 66% · 12 66% · X2 66%

Model advice: No predictions available

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Stevenage	Mansfield Town
Results	WLWLD	DWWLD
Goals scored per game	1.2	1.6
Goals conceded per game	1.0	0.8

StevenageMansfield Town

47%

53%Form

43%

57%Attack

44%

56%Defence

58%

42%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

49%

51%Overall

Head-to-head

1Stevenage4Draws3Mansfield Town

24 Jan 2026Stevenage1 - 1Mansfield TownLeague One
13 Sep 2025Mansfield Town1 - 1StevenageLeague One
8 Mar 2025Stevenage1 - 1Mansfield TownLeague One
30 Nov 2024Stevenage0 - 1Mansfield TownFA Cup
19 Oct 2024Mansfield Town0 - 1StevenageLeague One
22 Apr 2023Mansfield Town1 - 0StevenageLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Stevenage2.56Pinnaclefair 39%

Draw3.35Dafabetfair 30%

Mansfield Town3.23Pinnaclefair 31%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.9%.

Compare all Stevenage vs Mansfield Town odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Stevenage	33%	39.1%	-6.1
Draw	33%	29.6%	+3.4
Mansfield Town	33%	31.3%	+1.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town preview, prediction and stats – 14 Nov 2026 WAT

This League One matchday 15 fixture is played on Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT at Lamex Stadium.

Stevenage and Mansfield Town form

Over their last 5 matches Stevenage have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (WLWLD). Mansfield Town have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (DWWLD) across their last 5. Over those games Stevenage averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, Mansfield Town 1.6 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Stevenage 33%, Mansfield Town 33%, with 33% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for Stevenage and 1.3 for Mansfield Town, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 40% and both teams to score (GG) 46%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Mansfield Town in attack (57-43), Mansfield Town in defence (56-44).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Stevenage won 1, Mansfield Town won 3 and 4 ended level, an average of 1.4 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 0 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town.

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.56 for Stevenage (Pinnacle), 3.35 for the draw (Dafabet) and 3.23 for Mansfield Town (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 39% / 30% / 31%. Model and market agree closely, so there is no obvious price edge on the match result. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.05 and under at 1.81.

Our Stevenage vs Mansfield Town prediction

The selection we are backing in Stevenage vs Mansfield Town: Stevenage to win (33% confidence, best price 2.56). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?: The model gives Stevenage 33%, the draw 33% and Mansfield Town 33%. Our tip is Stevenage to win.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?: GG is rated 46% by the model and the best GG price is 1.80.
When and where is Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?: Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, League One (matchday 15), Lamex Stadium.

Compare every market on the Stevenage vs Mansfield Town odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.