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Primera Nacional
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE RafaelaHome
LLWDD
Saturday, Sep 19, 2026 Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman San Martin TucumanAway
WLDWD

Atletico De Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction

Combo Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw and -3.5 goals Review the Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Primera Nacional.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Atletico DE Rafaela35%
Draw35%
San Martin Tucuman30%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw and -3.5 goalsStrongest probability: 35%
Likely Score-1.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market-3.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalAtletico DE RafaelaWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Atletico DE Rafaela has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 35%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-1.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is -3.5.
  • Combo Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw and -3.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form57% / 43%
Attacking potential33% / 67%
Defensive potential70% / 30%
Poisson distribution67% / 33%
Head to head38% / 62%
Goals H2H45% / 55%
Overall signal51.7% / 48.3%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Atletico DE Rafaela
LLWDD
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2L
Agropecuario0–2L
Tristan Suarez2–1W
Club Atlético Güemes0–0D
Defensores De Belgrano0–0D
57% Form Rating 43%
San Martin Tucuman
WLDWD
Agropecuario3–0W
Tristan Suarez0–2L
Club Atlético Güemes1–1D
Chacarita Juniors2–1W
Deportivo Madryn2–2D

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings
San Martin Tucuman2–1Atletico DE Rafaela
Atletico DE Rafaela1–1San Martin Tucuman
San Martin Tucuman0–3Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman3–0Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman0–2Atletico DE Rafaela

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Atletico DE Rafaela35%
Expected Score-1.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal-3.5Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman prediction analysis