Football prediction

Primera Nacional predictions Round of 16

Colon Santa Fe vs Midland Prediction

Colon Santa Fe host Midland in the Primera Nacional (round of 16) on Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 46% / 36% / 18% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Colon Santa Fe or draw (82%).

Colon Santa FeWDDWW

22:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

MidlandDWLWD

Our prediction

Colon Santa Fe or draw82% probability · best odds 1.23

46%36%18%

Colon Santa FeDrawMidland

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 41%
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 82% · 12 64% · X2 54%

Model advice: Double chance : Colon Santa Fe or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Colon Santa Fe	Midland
Results	WDDWW	DWLWD
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.8
Goals conceded per game	0.4	0.6

Colon Santa FeMidland

58%

42%Form

44%

56%Attack

60%

40%Defence

71%

29%Poisson

0%Head to head

0%Goals

58%

42%Overall

Best odds (1X2)

Colon Santa Fe1.97Pinnaclefair 47%

Draw3.11Pinnaclefair 31%

Midland4.27Pinnaclefair 22%

Compared across 8 bookmakers. Market margin 9.4%.

Compare all Colon Santa Fe vs Midland odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Colon Santa Fe	46%	47.4%	-1.4
Draw	36%	30.6%	+5.4
Midland	18%	22.1%	-4.1

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera Nacional table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	+18	60	WWDDW
5	Midland	36	+14	55	DWLWD

Full Primera Nacional table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Colon Santa Fe vs Midland preview, prediction and stats – 14 Nov 2026 WAT

This Primera Nacional round of 16 fixture is played on Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT. Colon Santa Fe are 5th with 60 points from 36 games (goal difference +18); Midland are 5th with 55 points from 36 (+14).

Colon Santa Fe and Midland form

Over their last 5 matches Colon Santa Fe have managed 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (WDDWW). Midland have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (DWLWD) across their last 5. Over those games Colon Santa Fe averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, Midland 1.8 and 0.6.

What the numbers say

Colon Santa Fe are the model’s favourites at 46%, 28 points clear of Midland, while the draw is rated 36%. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for Colon Santa Fe and 1.1 for Midland, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 35% and both teams to score (GG) 42%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Midland in attack (56-44), Colon Santa Fe in defence (60-40), Colon Santa Fe in form (58-42).

Colon Santa Fe vs Midland odds

Across 8 bookmakers the best prices are 1.97 for Colon Santa Fe (Pinnacle), 3.11 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.27 for Midland (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 47% / 31% / 22%. Our model is 5.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.70 and under at 1.46.

Our Colon Santa Fe vs Midland prediction

The selection we are backing in Colon Santa Fe vs Midland: Colon Santa Fe or draw (82% confidence, best price 1.23). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?: The model gives Colon Santa Fe 46%, the draw 36% and Midland 18%. Our tip is Colon Santa Fe or draw.
What is the predicted score for Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?: GG is rated 42% by the model and the best GG price is 2.38.
When and where is Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?: Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT, Primera Nacional (round of 16).

Compare every market on the Colon Santa Fe vs Midland odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.