Football prediction

USL Championship predictions Quarter-finals

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United Prediction

Sunday 8 November, 03:30 WAT: New Mexico United welcome Colorado Springs in the USL Championship (quarter-finals). Home win 39%, draw 34%, away win 27% according to our model, and the pick is New Mexico United or draw (73%).

New Mexico UnitedWWLWW

03:30Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

Colorado SpringsDDWWD

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

Our prediction

New Mexico United or draw73% probability · best odds 1.57

39%34%27%

New Mexico UnitedDrawColorado Springs

Most likely score: 0 - 0
Both teams to score: 59%
Expected goals: 1.0 – 0.8
Double chance: 1X 73% · 12 66% · X2 61%

Model advice: Double chance : New Mexico United or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	New Mexico United	Colorado Springs
Results	WWLWW	DDWWD
Goals scored per game	1.6	1.0
Goals conceded per game	0.6	0.4

New Mexico UnitedColorado Springs

57%

43%Form

62%

38%Attack

40%

60%Defence

60%

40%Poisson

71%

29%Head to head

46%

54%Goals

56%

44%Overall

Head-to-head

3New Mexico United4Draws1Colorado Springs

20 Sep 2026Colorado Springs0 - 0New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship
2 Aug 2026New Mexico United1 - 0Colorado SpringsUSL Championship
17 May 2026Colorado Springs4 - 0New Mexico UnitedUSL League One Cup
28 Mar 2026New Mexico United3 - 2Colorado SpringsUSL Championship
25 Sep 2025Colorado Springs1 - 2New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship
29 Jun 2025New Mexico United2 - 2Colorado SpringsUSL League One Cup

Best odds (1X2)

New Mexico United2.74Pinnaclefair 35%

Draw3.55Dafabetfair 27%

Colorado Springs2.43Pinnaclefair 39%

Compared across 8 bookmakers. Market margin 9.9%.

Compare all New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
New Mexico United	39%	34.5%	+4.5
Draw	34%	26.8%	+7.2
Colorado Springs	27%	38.7%	-11.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

USL Championship table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	New Mexico United	30	+11	52	WWLWW
5	Colorado Springs	30	+6	47	WWWDD

Full USL Championship table and predictions

Prediction analysis

New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs preview, prediction and stats – 8 Nov 2026 WAT

This USL Championship quarter-finals fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 03:30 WAT at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (goal difference +11); Colorado Springs are 5th with 47 points from 30 (+6).

New Mexico United and Colorado Springs form

New Mexico United are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (WWLWW). Colorado Springs have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats (DDWWD) across their last 5. Over those games New Mexico United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, Colorado Springs 1.0 and 0.4.

What the numbers say

New Mexico United are the model’s favourites at 39%, 12 points clear of Colorado Springs, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for New Mexico United and 0.8 for Colorado Springs, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-0 (17%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 27% and both teams to score (GG) 35%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: New Mexico United in attack (62-38), Colorado Springs in defence (60-40), New Mexico United in form (57-43).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings New Mexico United won 3, Colorado Springs won 1 and 4 ended level, an average of 2.9 goals per game. Both teams scored in 5 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, finished Colorado Springs 0-0 New Mexico United.

New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs odds

Across 8 bookmakers the best prices are 2.74 for New Mexico United (Pinnacle), 3.55 for the draw (Dafabet) and 2.43 for Colorado Springs (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 35% / 27% / 39%. Our model is 7.2 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.73 and under at 2.11.

Our New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs prediction

The selection we are backing in New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs: New Mexico United or draw (73% confidence, best price 1.57). Correct score suggestion: 0-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?: The model gives New Mexico United 39%, the draw 34% and Colorado Springs 27%. Our tip is New Mexico United or draw.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?: 0-0 is the most likely scoreline (17%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 0.8.
Will both teams score in New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?: GG is rated 35% by the model and the best GG price is 1.62.
When and where is New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?: Sunday 8 November, 03:30 WAT, USL Championship (quarter-finals), Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

Compare every market on the New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 20, 2026 · USL Championship0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–0

August 2, 2026 · USL Championship45% / 45% / 10% · 1–0