Football prediction

Primera Nacional predictions Round of 16

Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales Prediction

Sunday 15 November, 19:00 WAT: Deportivo Moron welcome Colegiales in the Primera Nacional (round of 16). Home win 48%, draw 36%, away win 16% according to our model, and the pick is Deportivo Moron to win (48%).

Deportivo MoronWLLLW

19:00Sun 15 Nov 2026 · WAT

ColegialesWDWDD

Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron

Our prediction

Deportivo Moron to win48% probability · best odds 1.90

48%36%16%

Deportivo MoronDrawColegiales

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Goals: Under 3.5 goals
Both teams to score: 37%
Expected goals: 0.5 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 84% · 12 64% · X2 52%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw and -3.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Deportivo Moron	Colegiales
Results	WLLLW	WDWDD
Goals scored per game	0.8	1.0
Goals conceded per game	1.2	0.2

Deportivo MoronColegiales

40%

60%Form

44%

56%Attack

14%

86%Defence

80%

20%Poisson

93%

7%Head to head

86%

14%Goals

60%

41%Overall

Head-to-head

5Deportivo Moron2Draws1Colegiales

12 Apr 2017Deportivo Moron1 - 0ColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana
26 Sep 2016Colegiales1 - 2Deportivo MoronPrimera B Metropolitana
8 Nov 2015Colegiales0 - 1Deportivo MoronPrimera B Metropolitana
21 Jun 2015Deportivo Moron0 - 0ColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana
13 Apr 2014Deportivo Moron2 - 0ColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana
12 Oct 2013Colegiales0 - 0Deportivo MoronPrimera B Metropolitana

Best odds (1X2)

Deportivo Moron1.90Dafabetfair 49%

Draw3.15Pinnaclefair 31%

Colegiales5.23Pinnaclefair 20%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 9.7%.

Compare all Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Deportivo Moron	48%	49.3%	-1.3
Draw	36%	30.7%	+5.3
Colegiales	16%	20.0%	-4.0

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Primera Nacional table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	Deportivo Moron	36	+16	61	WLLLW
7	Colegiales	36	+4	52	DDWDW

Full Primera Nacional table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales preview, prediction and stats – 15 Nov 2026 WAT

This Primera Nacional round of 16 fixture is played on Sunday 15 November, 19:00 WAT at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. Deportivo Moron are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (goal difference +16); Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 (+4).

Deportivo Moron and Colegiales form

Deportivo Moron are struggling for results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (WLLLW). Over their last 5 matches Colegiales have managed 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats (WDWDD). Over those games Deportivo Moron averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Colegiales 1.0 and 0.2.

What the numbers say

Deportivo Moron are the model’s favourites at 48%, 32 points clear of Colegiales, while the draw is rated 36%. Expected goals come out at 0.5 for Deportivo Moron and 1.1 for Colegiales, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 22% and both teams to score (GG) 26%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Colegiales in attack (56-44), Colegiales in defence (86-14), Colegiales in form (60-40).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Deportivo Moron won 5, Colegiales won 1 and 2 ended level, an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 12 Apr 2017, finished Deportivo Moron 1-0 Colegiales.

Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.90 for Deportivo Moron (Dafabet), 3.15 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 5.23 for Colegiales (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 49% / 31% / 20%. Our model is 5.3 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 3.10 and under at 1.39.

Our Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales prediction

The selection we are backing in Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales: Deportivo Moron to win (48% confidence, best price 1.90). For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?: The model gives Deportivo Moron 48%, the draw 36% and Colegiales 16%. Our tip is Deportivo Moron to win.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (22%), from expected goals of 0.5 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?: GG is rated 26% by the model and the best GG price is 2.62.
When and where is Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?: Sunday 15 November, 19:00 WAT, Primera Nacional (round of 16), Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Compare every market on the Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.