Football prediction

Serie A Matchday 11

Inter vs Como Prediction

Inter vs Como kicks off on Sunday 8 November, 18:00 WAT in the Serie A (matchday 11). The model gives Inter 49%, the draw 32% and Como 19%, and the pick is Inter or draw (81%).

InterWWWWL

18:00Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

ComoDWWWW

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

Our prediction

Inter or draw81% probability · best odds 1.30

49%32%19%

InterDrawComo

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 64%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.4
Double chance: 1X 81% · 12 68% · X2 51%

Model advice: Double chance : Inter or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Inter	Como
Results	WWWWL	DWWWW
Goals scored per game	2.2	1.8
Goals conceded per game	1.0	0.4

InterComo

48%

52%Form

55%

45%Attack

29%

71%Defence

56%

44%Poisson

93%

7%Head to head

72%

28%Goals

59%

41%Overall

Head-to-head

5Inter1Draws0Como

21 Apr 2026Inter3 - 2ComoCoppa Italia
12 Apr 2026Como3 - 4InterSerie A
3 Mar 2026Como0 - 0InterCoppa Italia
6 Dec 2025Inter4 - 0ComoSerie A
23 May 2025Como0 - 2InterSerie A
23 Dec 2024Inter2 - 0ComoSerie A

Best odds (1X2)

Inter1.91Bet365fair 51%

Draw4.321xBetfair 23%

Como3.941xBetfair 26%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 5.1%.

Compare all Inter vs Como odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Inter	49%	51.4%	-2.4
Draw	32%	23.0%	+9.0
Como	19%	25.6%	-6.6

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Serie A table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Inter	10	+13	25	LWWWW
4	Como	10	+10	23	WWWWD

Full Serie A table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Inter vs Como: our prediction for 8 Nov 2026 WAT

This Serie A matchday 11 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 18:00 WAT at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Inter are 2nd with 25 points from 10 games (goal difference +13); Como are 4th with 23 points from 10 (+10). Only 2 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Inter and Como form

Inter are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (WWWWL). Como arrive in strong form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (DWWWW). Over those games Inter averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, Como 1.8 and 0.4.

What the numbers say

Inter are the model’s favourites at 49%, 30 points clear of Como, while the draw is rated 32%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for Inter and 1.4 for Como, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 51% and both teams to score (GG) 55%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Inter in attack (55-45), Como in defence (71-29).

Head-to-head record

In the last 6 meetings Inter won 5, Como won 0 and 1 ended level, an average of 3.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Inter 3-2 Como.

Inter vs Como odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 1.91 for Inter (Bet365), 4.32 for the draw (1xBet) and 3.94 for Como (1xBet). With the margin removed the market reads 51% / 23% / 26%. Our model is 9.0 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50 and under at 2.71.

Our Inter vs Como prediction

The selection we are backing in Inter vs Como: Inter or draw (81% confidence, best price 1.30). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Inter vs Como?: The model gives Inter 49%, the draw 32% and Como 19%. Our tip is Inter or draw.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Como?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 1.4.
Will both teams score in Inter vs Como?: GG is rated 55% by the model and the best GG price is 1.50.
When and where is Inter vs Como?: Sunday 8 November, 18:00 WAT, Serie A (matchday 11), San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.