Football prediction

Serie A Matchday 11

Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction

Sunday 8 November, 20:45 WAT: Fiorentina welcome Juventus in the Serie A (matchday 11). Home win 30%, draw 30%, away win 40% according to our model, and the pick is Fiorentina or draw (60%).

FiorentinaLLLDW

20:45Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

JuventusDLWLW

Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence

Our prediction

Fiorentina or draw60% probability · best odds 1.82

30%30%40%

FiorentinaDrawJuventus

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 57%
Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.6
Double chance: 1X 60% · 12 70% · X2 70%

Model advice: Double chance : Fiorentina or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Fiorentina	Juventus
Results	LLLDW	DLWLW
Goals scored per game	1.8	1.0
Goals conceded per game	2.2	1.2

FiorentinaJuventus

36%

64%Form

64%

36%Attack

35%

65%Defence

30%

70%Poisson

62%

38%Head to head

67%

33%Goals

49%

51%Overall

Head-to-head

2Fiorentina3Draws3Juventus

17 May 2026Juventus0 - 2FiorentinaSerie A
22 Nov 2025Fiorentina1 - 1JuventusSerie A
16 Mar 2025Fiorentina3 - 0JuventusSerie A
29 Dec 2024Juventus2 - 2FiorentinaSerie A
7 Apr 2024Juventus1 - 0FiorentinaSerie A
5 Nov 2023Fiorentina0 - 1JuventusSerie A

Best odds (1X2)

Fiorentina3.701xBetfair 27%

Draw3.701xBetfair 27%

Juventus2.11Pinnaclefair 46%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 4.8%.

Compare all Fiorentina vs Juventus odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Fiorentina	30%	27.3%	+2.7
Draw	30%	26.7%	+3.3
Juventus	40%	46.1%	-6.1

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Serie A table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Juventus	10	+3	17	WLWLD
16	Fiorentina	10	-8	8	WDLLL

Full Serie A table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Fiorentina vs Juventus preview, prediction and stats – 8 Nov 2026 WAT

Sunday 8 November, 20:45 WAT is the date for this Serie A matchday 11 meeting at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (goal difference -8); Juventus are 7th with 17 points from 10 (+3).

Fiorentina and Juventus form

Fiorentina are struggling for results: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 (LLLDW). Over their last 5 matches Juventus have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (DLWLW). Over those games Fiorentina averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, Juventus 1.0 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

Juventus are the model’s favourites at 40%, 10 points clear of Fiorentina, while the draw is rated 30%. Expected goals come out at 1.5 for Fiorentina and 1.6 for Juventus, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 60% and both teams to score (GG) 62%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Fiorentina in attack (64-36), Juventus in defence (65-35), Juventus in form (64-36).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Fiorentina won 2, Juventus won 3 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina.

Fiorentina vs Juventus odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 3.70 for Fiorentina (1xBet), 3.70 for the draw (1xBet) and 2.11 for Juventus (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 27% / 27% / 46%. Model and market agree closely, so there is no obvious price edge on the match result. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.84 and under at 2.12.

Our Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction

Our pick for Fiorentina vs Juventus is Fiorentina or draw, rated 60%, best price 1.82. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?: The model gives Fiorentina 30%, the draw 30% and Juventus 40%. Our tip is Fiorentina or draw.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Juventus?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (11%), from expected goals of 1.5 and 1.6.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Juventus?: GG is rated 62% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is Fiorentina vs Juventus?: Sunday 8 November, 20:45 WAT, Serie A (matchday 11), Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.